Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:40:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

54
0x54ab…cd5b
crypto · 1608 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$137 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$137 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$137
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses1020 / 588
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1608 / 1608
History coverage56d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day45.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1608 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$32
14 days−$26
30 days−$26
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$3 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$137
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Down 37¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 36¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET SELL Down 32¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-11.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 415 -2.7% -12.0% 52% 48% -11.4%
≤30d 580 -2.4% -11.7% 52% 49% -10.6%
≤90d 1608 -1.9% -11.2% 63% 40% -11.1%
all 1608 -1.9% -11.2% 63% 40% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover45.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.2% 40% -11.1%
10% ← realistic here -19.7% 25% -19.6%
15% -27.5% 18% -27.3%
20% -34.6% 13% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records