Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:19:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

54
0x548f…0918
crypto · 125 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$73 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$75 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$96
Realized+$75
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses78 / 34
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions11
Markets (closed)112 / 125
History coverage23d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day18.3
Drawdown50%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 11 History 112 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$94
7 days+$94
14 days+$94
30 days+$75
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $34 $34 −$0 (-1%)
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) Alex Pereira 50¢ 50¢ $29 $29 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $12 $12 −$0 (-1%)
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card) Diego Lopes 58¢ 57¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Ilia Topuria 81¢ 80¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Brazil 32¢ 32¢ $4 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score Yes 54¢ 54¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card) Aiemann Zahabi 22¢ 22¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Uruguay be the worst-placed South American nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 83¢ 80¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 12¢ 11¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score No 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$9 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$3 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$6 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$3 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? AND Will United States win on 2 Jun 13 $2 +$8 +399%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 +$11 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$7 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $27 +$7 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$5 +51%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$3 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $24 +$6 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$8 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $33 +$10 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$10 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$9 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$3 -39%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 88% +$52
other 8% +$23
sports 4% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $3 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 56¢ $3 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 46m
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) BUY Brazil 32¢ $4 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-7.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 88 +6.7% -3.4% 72% 58% -1.0%
≤30d 112 +2.0% -7.7% 70% 56% -3.3%
≤90d 112 +2.0% -7.7% 70% 56% -3.3%
all 112 +2.0% -7.7% 70% 56% -3.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.7% 56% -3.3%
10% -16.5% 38% -12.6%
15% -24.6% 23% -21.0%
20% -32.0% 19% -28.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $96.40 · official $104.41 · 551 history records