trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +1.0% | -8.6% | 100% | 0% | -8.6% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +1.0% | -8.6% | 100% | 0% | -8.6% |
| ≤90d | 4 | +0.9% | -8.8% | 100% | 0% | -8.8% |
| all | 22 | -4.1% | -13.2% | 95% | 0% | -9.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.2% | 0% | -9.9% |
| 10% | -21.5% | 0% | -18.5% |
| 15% | -29.1% | 0% | -26.4% |
| 20% | -36.1% | 0% | -33.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Multipli.fi launch a token by June 30, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 96¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $50 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31? | Jun 01 | $49 | +$1 | +1% |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | May 11 | $49 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on March 22 | Apr 28 | $48 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | Mar 21 | $48 | $0 | +1% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Mar 14 | $48 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 32-33°F on February | Mar 02 | $48 | $0 | +0% |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | Feb 26 | $48 | $0 | +0% |
| Celtics vs. Suns | Feb 25 | $48 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Luke Combs perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | Feb 25 | $48 | $0 | +0% |
| 76ers vs. Clippers | Feb 08 | $48 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January? | Jan 18 | $43 | −$43 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on January 16? | Jan 18 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Solana dip to $90 before 2026? | Jan 16 | $42 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in November? | Dec 25 | $41 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 20? | Nov 19 | $1,259 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $110,000 on November 19? | Nov 18 | $1,259 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 19? | Nov 17 | $1,255 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on November 18? | Nov 17 | $1,252 | +$3 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 November 10-16? | Nov 16 | $1,249 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will Solana dip to $120 in October? | Nov 03 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on November 1? | Nov 03 | $36 | $0 | +0% |