trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -3.8% | -13.0% | 0% | 0% | -13.4% |
| ≤30d | 13 | +11.4% | +0.8% | 54% | 31% | -8.4% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -1.9% | -11.2% | 50% | 31% | -9.8% |
| all | 18 | -1.9% | -11.2% | 50% | 28% | -9.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.2% | 28% | -9.8% |
| 10% | -19.7% | 22% | -18.4% |
| 15% | -27.5% | 11% | -26.3% |
| 20% | -34.6% | 6% | -33.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | No | 84¢ | 84¢ | $64 | $63 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 90¢ | 90¢ | $45 | $45 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | No | 88¢ | 87¢ | $30 | $30 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Jun 27 | $10 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | Jun 27 | $32 | −$1 | -2% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Jun 27 | $56 | −$4 | -7% |
| Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? | Jun 27 | $58 | −$2 | -3% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 14 | $2 | $0 | +26% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | Jun 14 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 14 | $2 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele | Jun 14 | $10 | +$4 | +36% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $60 | +$4 | +7% |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Jun 14 | $2 | $0 | +24% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | May 29 | $3 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 29 | $15 | $0 | -0% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 29 | $2 | +$1 | +65% |
| Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A | May 11 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 11 | $3 | −$3 | -99% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | May 11 | $3 | +$1 | +22% |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June? | Feb 26 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Feb 26 | $1 | $0 | -4% |