Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:51:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

54
0x5484…84e8
crypto · 1370 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$176 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$403 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$403
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses502 / 885
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1387 / 1370
History coverage59d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day32.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 1387 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$77
7 days−$250
14 days−$213
30 days−$216
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 57¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+77%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 65¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+55%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Up 48¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+108%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 66¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+52%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 66¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+50%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+103%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 53¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+89%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 54¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+86%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Down 62¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+60%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 68¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+48%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 53¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+88%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 56¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+78%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 57¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+74%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Down 54¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+85%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 64¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+57%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 54¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+85%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 57¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+76%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Down 59¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+70%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 55¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+82%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 78¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+28%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 54¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+85%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$1 +676%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $0 +$1 +1090%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$1 -1212%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +591%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $0 +$1 +1053%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +358%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$1 -980%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $0 +$1 +1446%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$1 +2268%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -614%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +758%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$1 -1549%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +565%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $0 +$1 +845%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$1 -1431%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +424%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 14? Jun 14 $128 +$12 +10%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 14? Jun 14 $122 −$26 -21%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 14? Jun 14 $103 −$43 -41%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 14? Jun 14 $132 +$35 +26%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 13? Jun 14 $138 +$8 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on June 13? Jun 13 $120 −$68 -57%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 13? Jun 13 $9 −$4 -45%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -85%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 13? Jun 13 $133 +$9 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 13? Jun 13 $32 +$21 +65%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 13? Jun 13 $27 −$15 -57%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 13? Jun 13 $76 −$10 -14%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 12? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 12? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 12? Jun 12 $10 −$9 -92%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 12? Jun 12 $138 +$59 +43%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju Jun 12 $26 −$17 -67%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 12? Jun 12 $15 −$3 -20%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 12? Jun 12 $124 +$19 +15%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 12? Jun 12 $138 −$31 -22%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 12? Jun 12 $135 +$30 +22%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 11? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 11? Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 11? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 11? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 11? Jun 11 $126 −$105 -84%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on June 11? Jun 11 $135 +$14 +11%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 11? Jun 11 $41 +$44 +108%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 11? Jun 11 $130 +$20 +16%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 11? Jun 11 $140 +$26 +18%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 11? Jun 11 $40 −$24 -60%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 75°F or below on June 1 Jun 11 $41 −$41 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 70% −$171
weather 30% −$216
other 0% −$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 14? SELL No 98¢ $141 56m
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 14? BUY No 89¢ $128 1h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 14? SELL No 72¢ $96 5h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 14? SELL No 55¢ $60 6h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 14? BUY No 92¢ $103 6h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 14? BUY No 89¢ $122 6h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 14? SELL No 95¢ $0 6h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 14? SELL No 95¢ $21 7h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 14? SELL No 95¢ $19 7h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 14? SELL No 95¢ $71 7h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 14? SELL No 95¢ $9 7h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 14? SELL No 95¢ $2 7h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 14? SELL No 95¢ $5 7h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 14? SELL No 95¢ $8 7h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 14? SELL No 95¢ $27 7h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 14? SELL No 95¢ $5 7h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 14? BUY No 74¢ $132 7h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 13? SELL No 98¢ $21 12h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 13? SELL No 98¢ $20 12h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 13? SELL No 98¢ $1 13h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 13? SELL No 98¢ $85 13h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 13? SELL No 98¢ $8 14h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 13? SELL No 98¢ $4 14h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 13? SELL No 98¢ $8 14h
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on June 13? SELL No 36¢ $52 15h
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on June 13? BUY No 79¢ $120 15h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 13? BUY No 92¢ $138 15h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju BUY No 5¢ $10 15h
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 13? SELL No 5¢ $5 17h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 13? SELL No 1¢ $0 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-1.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 74 +106.4% +86.8% 54% 45% -14.6%
≤30d 82 +100.0% +81.0% 56% 48% -13.8%
≤90d 1387 +8.4% -1.9% 36% 30% -12.0%
all 1387 +8.4% -1.9% 36% 30% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover32.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.9% 30% -12.0%
10% ← realistic here -11.3% 23% -20.4%
15% -19.9% 18% -28.1%
20% -27.7% 11% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.71 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records