Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:07:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

54
0x5482…bd61
sports · 124 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$706 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$705 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$19
Realized−$705
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses60 / 62
Whale WR (big bets)77%
Est. fees paid−$131
Open positions2
Markets (closed)122 / 124
History coverage74d
Avg bet$185
Trades / day11.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 2 History 122 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$16
7 days+$16
14 days−$333
30 days−$436
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? No 19¢ 18¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-8%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $83 +$16 +19%
Call of Duty: G2 Minnesota vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty Leagu Jun 06 $213 −$66 -31%
Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of Jun 05 $41 +$28 +67%
Call of Duty: Vancouver Surge vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty Le May 31 $666 −$275 -41%
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call May 30 $427 +$62 +15%
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs FaZe Vegas - Game 2 Winner May 30 $23 −$23 -99%
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty L May 30 $161 −$32 -20%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? May 30 $100 −$100 -100%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $77 +$57 +73%
Call of Duty: G2 Minnesota vs Cloud9 New York (BO5) - Call of Duty Lea May 29 $107 −$47 -44%
Call of Duty: Vancouver Surge vs OpTic Texas (BO5) - Call of Duty Leag May 29 $267 +$20 +7%
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of Dut May 29 $674 −$624 -93%
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31? May 23 $25 −$9 -36%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? May 23 $25 −$7 -27%
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? May 22 $1,399 +$1 +0%
Iran closes its airspace by May 21? May 22 $1,553 +$33 +2%
Iran closes its airspace by May 24? May 22 $4 −$2 -58%
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Toronto KOI (BO5) - Call of Duty League M May 17 $426 +$106 +25%
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty L May 17 $553 +$256 +46%
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty L May 16 $352 +$43 +12%
Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs Paris Gentle Mates (BO5) - Call of Dut May 16 $10 +$3 +33%
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Miami Heretics (BO5) - Call of Duty Leagu May 16 $318 +$13 +4%
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-05-16? May 16 $25 −$7 -28%
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Miami Heretics (BO5) - Call of Duty Leagu May 16 $278 +$52 +19%
Call of Duty: Project Notorious vs Paris Gentle Mates (BO5) - Call of May 15 $30 +$4 +14%
Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs Cloud9 New York (BO5) - Call of Duty L May 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Call of Duty: Carolina Royal Ravens vs Miami Heretics (BO5) - Call of May 15 $86 +$63 +73%
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Cloud9 New York (BO5) - Call of Duty Leag May 11 $782 +$98 +12%
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty May 11 $831 +$17 +2%
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs Miami Heretics (BO5) - Call of Dut May 10 $769 +$43 +6%
Call of Duty: G2 Minnesota vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty Leagu May 10 $913 −$98 -11%
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League St May 10 $830 +$19 +2%
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Carolina Royal Ravens - Game 3 Wi May 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Cal May 09 $68 +$1 +1%
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11? May 05 $1,117 +$231 +21%
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw? May 05 $133 +$39 +29%
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11? May 05 $61 +$8 +12%
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty May 04 $269 −$204 -76%
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty Leag May 04 $119 −$92 -77%
Call of Duty: Vancouver Surge vs Los Angeles Thieves (BO5) - Call of D May 03 $100 +$16 +16%
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs OpTic Texas (BO5) - Call of Duty League S May 03 $352 −$85 -24%
Call of Duty: Vancouver Surge vs Riyadh Falcons (BO5) - Call of Duty L May 03 $405 −$125 -31%
Call of Duty: Cloud9 New York vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of May 02 $103 −$25 -24%
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League May 02 $206 +$51 +24%
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-05-02? May 02 $344 +$42 +12%
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-02? May 02 $10 +$1 +8%
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05-02? May 02 $10 +$4 +41%
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-05-02? May 02 $10 −$1 -5%
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-05-02? May 02 $10 $0 +1%
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-02? May 02 $10 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 74% −$1,176
world 13% +$16
other 12% +$426
finance 0% +$38
crypto 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $10 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $10 1h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 84¢ $69 47h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $70 47h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL No 31¢ $12 47h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 32¢ $13 2d
Call of Duty: G2 Minnesota vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty Leagu BUY G2 Minnesota 99¢ $85 7d
Call of Duty: G2 Minnesota vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty Leagu BUY G2 Minnesota 99¢ $10 7d
Call of Duty: G2 Minnesota vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty Leagu BUY G2 Minnesota 99¢ $20 7d
Call of Duty: G2 Minnesota vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty Leagu BUY G2 Minnesota 99¢ $23 7d
Call of Duty: G2 Minnesota vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty Leagu SELL Boston Breach 4¢ $2 7d
Call of Duty: G2 Minnesota vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty Leagu SELL Boston Breach 4¢ $3 7d
Call of Duty: G2 Minnesota vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty Leagu SELL Boston Breach 7¢ $0 7d
Call of Duty: G2 Minnesota vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty Leagu SELL Boston Breach 7¢ $1 7d
Call of Duty: G2 Minnesota vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty Leagu SELL Boston Breach 7¢ $1 7d
Call of Duty: G2 Minnesota vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty Leagu BUY Boston Breach 30¢ $20 7d
Call of Duty: G2 Minnesota vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty Leagu BUY Boston Breach 54¢ $0 7d
Call of Duty: G2 Minnesota vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty Leagu BUY Boston Breach 54¢ $20 7d
Call of Duty: G2 Minnesota vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty Leagu BUY Boston Breach 54¢ $30 7d
Call of Duty: G2 Minnesota vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty Leagu BUY Boston Breach 46¢ $1 7d
Call of Duty: G2 Minnesota vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty Leagu BUY Boston Breach 46¢ $4 7d
Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of BUY Riyadh Falcons 59¢ $41 8d
Call of Duty: Vancouver Surge vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty Le SELL Vancouver Surge 1¢ $4 13d
Call of Duty: Vancouver Surge vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty Le SELL Vancouver Surge 1¢ $0 13d
Call of Duty: Vancouver Surge vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty Le SELL Vancouver Surge 1¢ $0 13d
Call of Duty: Vancouver Surge vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty Le BUY Boston Breach 85¢ $36 13d
Call of Duty: Vancouver Surge vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty Le BUY Boston Breach 85¢ $0 13d
Call of Duty: Vancouver Surge vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty Le BUY Boston Breach 85¢ $4 13d
Call of Duty: Vancouver Surge vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty Le BUY Boston Breach 85¢ $26 13d
Call of Duty: Vancouver Surge vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty Le BUY Boston Breach 85¢ $12 13d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-21.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +19.3% +7.9% 100% 100% +7.9%
≤30d 27 -9.8% -18.4% 56% 41% -14.5%
≤90d 122 -12.7% -21.0% 49% 33% -12.3%
all 122 -12.7% -21.0% 49% 33% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.0% 33% -12.3%
10% -28.6% 20% -20.7%
15% -35.5% 11% -28.4%
20% -41.8% 7% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $19.12 · official $19.12 (match) · 934 history records