Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:09:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

54
0x5482…23cd
crypto · 270 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$11,596 -51%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$11,596 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$11,596
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)17%
Wins / losses110 / 532
Open positions0
Markets (closed)642 / 270
History coverage6d
Avg bet$85
Trades / day600.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 642 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12,394
7 days−$11,596
14 days−$11,596
30 days−$11,596
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $66 $0 −$66 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $164 $0 −$164 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $86 $0 −$86 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $67 −$67 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $69 −$69 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $66 −$66 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $164 −$164 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $86 −$86 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $97 −$97 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $65 −$65 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $122 −$122 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $63 −$63 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$3,594
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $6 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $4 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $7 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $7 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $7 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $7 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $7 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $8 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $7 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $7 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $4 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $26 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $40 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $12 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $6 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 49m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-68.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 642 -65.0% -68.3% 17% 16% -39.3%
≤30d 642 -65.0% -68.3% 17% 16% -39.3%
≤90d 642 -65.0% -68.3% 17% 16% -39.3%
all 642 -65.0% -68.3% 17% 16% -39.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover600.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -68.3% 16% -39.3%
10% ← realistic here -71.3% 15% -45.1%
15% -74.1% 13% -50.4%
20% -76.6% 10% -55.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records