trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 5 | -21.4% | -28.9% | 40% | 20% | -68.6% |
| ≤90d | 22 | -35.3% | -41.5% | 36% | 27% | -60.3% |
| all | 22 | -35.3% | -41.5% | 36% | 27% | -60.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -41.5% | 27% | -60.3% |
| 10% | -47.1% | 27% | -64.1% |
| 15% | -52.2% | 18% | -67.6% |
| 20% | -56.9% | 18% | -70.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 47¢ | 54¢ | $1,308 | $1,512 | +$204 (+16%) |
| Arcium FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 45¢ | 54¢ | $145 | $171 | +$26 (+18%) |
| Cap FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 9¢ | 4¢ | $3 | $1 | −$1 (-54%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner | Jun 14 | $187 | −$183 | -98% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Jun 10 | $26 | −$3 | -12% |
| Tea FDV above $80M one day after launch | Jun 04 | $1 | $0 | +5% |
| Tea FDV above $40M one day after launch | Jun 04 | $224 | +$225 | +100% |
| Fluent FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Jun 04 | $929 | −$929 | -100% |
| Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Apr 15 | $1 | +$1 | +65% |
| Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Apr 13 | $7 | −$6 | -82% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | Apr 11 | $31 | −$31 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET | Apr 11 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | Apr 11 | $90 | −$90 | -100% |
| OneFootball FDV above $20M one day after launch? | Apr 11 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET | Apr 11 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET | Apr 10 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | Apr 10 | $160 | −$160 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET | Apr 07 | $275 | −$275 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | Apr 07 | $32 | −$32 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | Apr 07 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET | Apr 07 | $160 | +$236 | +148% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | Apr 07 | $95 | +$5 | +5% |
| Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group St | Apr 06 | $8 | +$2 | +25% |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner | Apr 06 | $15 | +$5 | +31% |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group | Apr 06 | $42 | +$58 | +138% |