Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:53:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

54
0x5474…88fc
crypto · 354 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,219 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,215 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$204
Realized−$1,215
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses186 / 324
Open positions1
Markets (closed)510 / 354
History coverage1d
Avg bet$53
Trades / day2596.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 510 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,215
7 days−$1,215
14 days−$1,215
30 days−$1,215
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 63¢ 100¢ $75 $120 +$45 (+59%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 48¢ 100¢ $29 $60 +$32 (+110%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 57¢ 70¢ $11 $14 +$3 (+24%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 43¢ 30¢ $12 $9 −$4 (-31%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 46¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+117%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$267
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $11 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $6 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $16 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $14 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $6 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $12 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $12 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $6 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $0 8m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-38.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 510 -32.1% -38.6% 36% 18% -15.0%
≤30d 510 -32.1% -38.6% 36% 18% -15.0%
≤90d 510 -32.1% -38.6% 36% 18% -15.0%
all 510 -32.1% -38.6% 36% 18% -15.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2596.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -38.6% 18% -15.0%
10% ← realistic here -44.4% 10% -23.1%
15% -49.8% 7% -30.5%
20% -54.7% 6% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $203.81 · official $203.60 (match) · 3500 history records