Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:23:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

54
0x546c…91a4
crypto · 593 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$780 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$780 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$780
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses376 / 217
Open positions0
Markets (closed)593 / 593
History coverage152d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day5.5
Drawdown71%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 593 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$54
7 days+$140
14 days+$254
30 days+$335
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$4 +104%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $27 +$20 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $70 +$49 +69%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$5 +114%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +79%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$5 +128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +90%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$11 +176%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$12 +285%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +101%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$9 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +94%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $26 −$26 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$45 +174%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$4 +93%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $26 +$20 +78%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$4 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$10 +93%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$3 +71%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 10 $6 +$6 +95%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 09 $26 +$20 +78%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 09 $10 +$9 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 09 $4 +$7 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 09 $26 +$23 +90%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 08 $10 +$9 +87%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 08 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 08 $4 +$4 +97%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 08 $4 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 08 $4 +$3 +80%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 08 $4 +$7 +172%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% +$646
other 8% +$148
sports 5% −$22
world 1% +$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $8 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 54m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $27 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $70 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $26 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $4 26h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 28h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $4 28h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $10 32h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $4 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 33h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $17 45h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 45h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 45h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $4 45h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 68¢ $16 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $4 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-4.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 57 +23.5% +11.7% 60% 60% +13.0%
≤30d 189 +12.9% +2.2% 58% 57% +7.3%
≤90d 407 +6.7% -3.5% 58% 57% -2.1%
all 593 +5.5% -4.6% 63% 53% -2.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -4.6% 53% -2.3%
10% -13.7% 51% -11.6%
15% -22.0% 50% -20.2%
20% -29.7% 48% -28.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1269 history records