Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:21:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

54
0x546a…1988
crypto · 1464 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$85 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$85 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$85
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses871 / 540
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1411 / 1464
History coverage18d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day123.6
Drawdown96%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1411 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,014
7 days−$1,419
14 days−$1,001
30 days+$85
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$2,286
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $4 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $9 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $9 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $8 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $4 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $13 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $13 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $6 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $6 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $3 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $6 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $8 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $8 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)-6.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 688 -36.7% -42.7% 40% 40% -35.0%
≤30d 1411 +3.8% -6.1% 62% 61% -8.8%
≤90d 1411 +3.8% -6.1% 62% 61% -8.8%
all 1411 +3.8% -6.1% 62% 61% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover123.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.1% 61% -8.8%
10% ← realistic here -15.1% 53% -17.5%
15% -23.3% 38% -25.5%
20% -30.8% 28% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records