Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:49:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

54
0x5459…9faf
crypto · 1747 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$53 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$54 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$54
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses1438 / 308
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1746 / 1747
History coverage25d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day69.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1746 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$29
14 days−$26
30 days−$54
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 78¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+28%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 66¢ 68¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+4%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$53
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 201 -4.2% -13.3% 72% 71% -15.4%
≤30d 1746 -1.2% -10.6% 82% 46% -10.9%
≤90d 1746 -1.2% -10.6% 82% 46% -10.9%
all 1746 -1.2% -10.6% 82% 46% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover69.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.6% 46% -10.9%
10% ← realistic here -19.1% 24% -19.4%
15% -27.0% 13% -27.2%
20% -34.1% 8% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.59 · official $4.59 (match) · 3500 history records