Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:22:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

54
0x5452…d448
other · 86 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$176,618 +109%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$42,404 · open +$3,289
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$63,411
Realized+$42,404
Unrealized+$3,289
Win rate (resolved)17%
Wins / losses69 / 333
Whale WR (big bets)64%
Est. fees paid−$23
Open positions125
Markets (closed)402 / 86
Avg bet$1,880
Trades / day684.3
Drawdown48%
Kalshi-fit5%
Chart Positions 125 History 402 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9,013
7 days+$42,404
14 days+$42,404
30 days+$42,404
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No 91¢ 92¢ $19,655 $19,742 +$87 (+0%)
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 10¢ $749 $5,695 +$4,946 (+660%)
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 80¢ 78¢ $3,200 $3,140 −$60 (-2%)
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 5¢ $755 $2,840 +$2,085 (+276%)
Will Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 3¢ $989 $2,730 +$1,741 (+176%)
Will Cody Gakpo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 2¢ $1,348 $2,211 +$863 (+64%)
Will Tunisia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 97¢ 98¢ $1,979 $1,996 +$17 (+1%)
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 3¢ $830 $1,826 +$996 (+120%)
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 5¢ $453 $1,703 +$1,250 (+276%)
Will Igor Thiago be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 2¢ $894 $1,466 +$572 (+64%)
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 77¢ 78¢ $1,244 $1,268 +$24 (+2%)
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No 80¢ 80¢ $1,216 $1,215 −$1 (-0%)
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 14¢ $93 $1,005 +$912 (+980%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 83¢ 84¢ $785 $796 +$11 (+1%)
Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 29¢ 30¢ $735 $762 +$28 (+4%)
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $500 $750 +$250 (+50%)
Will Depay Memphis be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1,226 $736 −$490 (-40%)
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026? No 67¢ 68¢ $670 $685 +$15 (+2%)
Will Panama be the furthest advancing CONCACAF nation at the World Cup? Yes 54¢ 56¢ $602 $623 +$21 (+4%)
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 92¢ 93¢ $587 $591 +$4 (+1%)
Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 2¢ $302 $531 +$229 (+76%)
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 3¢ $234 $495 +$262 (+112%)
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $456 $477 +$21 (+5%)
Will Viktor Gyökeres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $874 $454 −$420 (-48%)
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 33¢ 38¢ $392 $445 +$53 (+14%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Mac Meissner win the 2026 Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches? Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Will JT Poston win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Ma Jun 12 $50 −$12 -23%
Will Webb Simpson win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open? Jun 12 $43 −$44 -102%
Will Aldrich Potgieter win the 2026 PGA Championship? Jun 12 $188 +$220 +117%
Will Aldrich Potgieter win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open? Jun 12 $34 +$525 +1557%
Will Nicolas Echavarria win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship? Jun 12 $11 +$323 +2908%
Will James Clinton Schoonmaker (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Oly Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Martino Carollo (ITA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026 Jun 12 $88 −$88 -100%
Will Bulgaria win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Podulsky/Allan (CAN) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Alexander Albon win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix Jun 12 $29 −$29 -101%
Will Jesper Nelin (SWE) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: B Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented Jun 12 $50 −$42 -83%
Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship? Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Will Jason Day win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Ma Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Will Jules Chappaz (FRA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Brian Harman win the 2026 Valero Texas Open? Jun 12 $101 −$101 -100%
Will Christo Lamprecht win the 2026 Valero Texas Open? Jun 12 $101 −$101 -100%
Will Qiang Wang (CHN) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Vytautas Strolia (LTU) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 202 Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Brandt Snedeker win the 2026 Valero Texas Open? Jun 12 $98 −$98 -99%
Will Slavia Pragu win the 2025–26 Champions League? Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Will Cooper McLeod (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Jun 12 $45 +$2 +4%
Will Richard Jouve (FRA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Edvin Anger (SWE) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC Jun 12 $88 −$88 -100%
Will Markéta Vondroušová win the 2026 Women’s French Open? Jun 12 $115 −$115 -100%
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 RBC Heritage? Jun 12 $63 +$173 +276%
Will Henry Lebioda win the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? Jun 12 $2,660 −$2,660 -100%
Will Steven Fisk win the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elizaveta Golubeva (KAZ) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Ramona Hardi (SUI) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: S Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Denny McCarthy win the 2026 Truist Championship? Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Will David Ford win the 2026 Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches? Jun 12 $10 +$230 +2203%
Will Sahith Theegala win the 2026 RBC Heritage? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Will AEK Larnaca win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League? Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Exact Score: Elche CF 3 - 2 Club Atlético de Madrid? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Jun 12 $10 −$8 -75%
Will Rasmus Hojgaard win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship? Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Will Ryan Fox win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational? Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Will Webb Simpson win the 2026 Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches? Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Will Nico Hulkenberg win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix? Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Will Aldrich Potgieter win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational present Jun 12 $50 −$12 -23%
Will Niko Anttola (FIN) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: X Jun 12 $88 −$88 -100%
Will Erin Jackson (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: S Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Will Daniel Brown win the 2026 Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches? Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? Jun 12 $334 −$362 -108%
Will Chris Kirk win the 2026 Valero Texas Open? Jun 12 $101 −$101 -100%
Will Celta reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Andrew Novak win the 2026 RBC Heritage? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 80% +$40,090
politics 18% $0
culture 1% +$710
sports 0% $0
world 0% +$4
crypto 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Turkiye reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 51¢ $1 1m
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 17¢ $1 1m
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 14¢ $5 2m
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 14¢ $12 5m
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 17¢ $23 20m
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 17¢ $510 41m
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 10¢ $5 49m
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 14¢ $5 49m
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 14¢ $1 51m
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 17¢ $3 52m
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 17¢ $5 55m
Will Panama be the furthest advancing CONCACAF nation at the World Cup SELL Yes 61¢ $27 57m
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 17¢ $10 57m
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 5¢ $5 58m
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 10¢ $9 1h
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 10¢ $25 1h
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 14¢ $10 1h
Will Luis Javier Suárez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World C SELL Yes 1¢ $10 1h
Will Panama be the furthest advancing CONCACAF nation at the World Cup SELL Yes 62¢ $167 1h
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 14¢ $6 1h
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 17¢ $1 1h
Will Luis Javier Suárez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World C SELL Yes 1¢ $10 1h
Will Luis Javier Suárez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World C SELL Yes 1¢ $5 1h
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 14¢ $10 1h
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 14¢ $10 1h
Will Panama be the furthest advancing CONCACAF nation at the World Cup SELL Yes 66¢ $8 1h
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 17¢ $5 1h
Will Panama be the furthest advancing CONCACAF nation at the World Cup SELL Yes 66¢ $97 1h
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 14¢ $5 1h
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 14¢ $19 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)+25.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 402 +38.8% +25.6% 17% 14% +9.7%
≤30d 402 +38.8% +25.6% 17% 14% +9.7%
≤90d 402 +38.8% +25.6% 17% 14% +9.7%
all 402 +38.8% +25.6% 17% 14% +9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover684.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +25.6% 14% +9.7%
10% ← realistic here +13.6% 13% -0.8%
15% +2.6% 12% -10.4%
20% -7.5% 11% -19.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $63,410.53 · official $63,409.95 (match) · 3500 history records