Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:30:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

54
0x5446…bd10
crypto · 212 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$11 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$11 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses101 / 110
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)211 / 212
History coverage116d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day5.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 211 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$99
7 days−$99
14 days−$108
30 days−$108
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$2 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$3 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$9 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$10 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$4 -62%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $24 +$7 +31%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $2 −$1 -45%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $81 −$57 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 05 $4 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 05 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 05 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 05 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 05 $3 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 05 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Apr 05 $9 −$6 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Apr 05 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Apr 05 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Apr 05 $6 −$5 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Apr 05 $4 +$4 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Apr 05 $1 +$2 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Apr 05 $1 +$4 +417%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Apr 05 $1 +$2 +161%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Apr 05 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Apr 05 $2 −$2 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Mar 03 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Mar 03 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Mar 03 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Mar 03 $2 +$2 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Mar 03 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Mar 03 $8 −$7 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Mar 02 $12 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Mar 02 $6 +$5 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Mar 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-02? Mar 02 $4 +$4 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Mar 02 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Mar 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Mar 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% +$32
other 5% −$45
sports 2% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 54¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Up 39¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Down 19¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up 70¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Down 6¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $10 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $10 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Down 16¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $21 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 99¢ $31 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 25¢ $1 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 75¢ $24 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 18¢ $24 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Up 32¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-18.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 -43.5% -48.9% 25% 25% -52.9%
≤30d 27 -44.0% -49.3% 22% 22% -53.2%
≤90d 37 -19.1% -26.8% 30% 27% -48.7%
all 211 -9.8% -18.4% 48% 43% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.4% 43% -9.7%
10% -26.2% 36% -18.3%
15% -33.3% 27% -26.2%
20% -39.9% 21% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 702 history records