Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:27:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

54
0x5442…c494
crypto · 1797 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$305 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$305 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$305
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses1256 / 541
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1797 / 1797
History coverage54d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day43.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1797 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$72
7 days−$112
14 days−$136
30 days−$236
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +85%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$299
other 0% −$2
tech 0% $0
weather 0% −$3
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-13.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 368 -6.5% -15.4% 69% 66% -15.1%
≤30d 1016 -5.0% -14.1% 69% 67% -13.8%
≤90d 1797 -3.9% -13.0% 70% 59% -13.0%
all 1797 -3.9% -13.0% 70% 59% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover43.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.0% 59% -13.0%
10% ← realistic here -21.3% 45% -21.4%
15% -28.9% 27% -28.9%
20% -35.9% 16% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records