Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:37:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

54
0x5430…fbbb
sports · 673 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$509 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$655 · open +$34
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$399
Realized−$655
Unrealized+$34
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses300 / 338
Est. fees paid−$135
Open positions35
Markets (closed)638 / 673
History coverage21d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day36.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 35 History 638 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$237
7 days−$334
14 days−$572
30 days−$655
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Yes 18¢ 100¢ $10 $56 +$46 (+455%)
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Noir Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Group B Ilbirs eSports 45¢ 42¢ $25 $23 −$2 (-8%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 53¢ 48¢ $24 $22 −$2 (-10%)
Rainbow Six Siege: Black Dragons e-Sports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO1) - South America League Stage 1 Group Stage Ninjas in Pyjamas 64¢ 64¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Grass Court Championships: Donna Vekic vs Alexandra Eala Donna Vekic 53¢ 52¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-3%)
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) Mauricio Ruffy 83¢ 82¢ $19 $19 −$0 (-1%)
Rainbow Six Siege: LOS vs LOUD (BO1) - South America League Stage 1 Group Stage LOS 60¢ 59¢ $18 $17 −$0 (-2%)
Rainbow Six Siege: FaZe Clan vs Fluxo W7M (BO1) - South America League Stage 1 Group Stage FaZe Clan 63¢ 62¢ $17 $17 −$0 (-1%)
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands Bangladesh 72¢ 72¢ $14 $14 +$0 (+0%)
Nottingham Open: Tatjana Maria vs Jaqueline Cristian Tatjana Maria 51¢ 50¢ $15 $14 −$0 (-2%)
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Bangladesh 46¢ 32¢ $19 $13 −$5 (-29%)
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Galions 72¢ 72¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+1%)
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS (BO5) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs RED Canids 59¢ 58¢ $12 $12 −$0 (-1%)
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt Mattia Bellucci 65¢ 64¢ $11 $11 −$0 (-2%)
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) Josh Hokit 78¢ 78¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? Yes 21¢ 20¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 29¢ 36¢ $7 $9 +$2 (+22%)
Dota 2: Dandelions vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Group B Power Rangers 84¢ 81¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-3%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Bilibili Gaming 70¢ 69¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigers Kia Tigers 44¢ 44¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Group B Power Rangers 82¢ 81¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Grass Court Championships: Elina Svitolina vs Anna Kalinskaya Anna Kalinskaya 35¢ 34¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card) Kyle Daukaus 28¢ 28¢ $8 $7 −$0 (-2%)
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins LG Twins 62¢ 62¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+1%)
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Hanwha Eagles 57¢ 68¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+18%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 14 $32 +$28 +86%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 14 $28 +$20 +70%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury Jun 14 $12 +$11 +86%
Indios de Mayaguez vs. Leones de Ponce Jun 14 $8 +$6 +70%
Gimnasia vs. Quimsa Jun 14 $3 +$4 +146%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Will CD Huachipato win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Aguada Santeros vs. Mets de Guaynabo Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Piratas de Quebradillas vs. Capitanes de Arecibo Jun 14 $11 +$13 +114%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $42 +$69 +165%
British Columbia Lions vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders Jun 14 $5 +$3 +76%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $53 −$53 -100%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 14 $16 +$17 +105%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $8 +$1 +13%
Will CSD Colo-Colo win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $21 +$5 +26%
Rainbow Six Siege: LOUD vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO1) - South America Lea Jun 13 $12 +$6 +53%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $30 +$15 +50%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $29 +$31 +105%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $34 +$34 +101%
Basket Zielona Gora vs. Legia Warszawa Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Fenerbahce vs. Besiktas Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty League Jun 13 $15 +$24 +158%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $36 +$32 +90%
Will Exeter Chiefs win? Jun 13 $11 +$28 +257%
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona Jun 13 $4 +$3 +62%
Olimpia Milano vs. Reyer Venezia Jun 13 $4 +$1 +18%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $17 +$16 +93%
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Gr Jun 13 $9 +$70 +754%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playo Jun 13 $14 +$33 +226%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan Jun 13 $17 +$2 +12%
BC Lietkabelis Panevezys vs. BC Neptunas Klaipeda Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Rainbow Six Siege: EDward Gaming vs Four Angry Men (BO3) - CN League S Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 89% −$359
other 11% −$261
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan BUY Pakistan 11¢ $5 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands BUY Bangladesh 72¢ $15 1h
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) BUY Ciryl Gane 51¢ $4 1h
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Mai BUY Mauricio Ruffy 83¢ $19 1h
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) BUY Josh Hokit 78¢ $10 1h
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card) BUY Kyle Daukaus 28¢ $8 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff BUY G2 Esports 65¢ $6 1h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London BUY Team Heretics 48¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 62¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 BUY ex-RUBY 48¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY illwill 39¢ $3 1h
Nottingham Open: Tatjana Maria vs Jaqueline Cristian BUY Tatjana Maria 51¢ $15 1h
Grass Court Championships: Donna Vekic vs Alexandra Eala BUY Donna Vekic 53¢ $20 1h
Grass Court Championships: Elina Svitolina vs Anna Kalinskaya BUY Anna Kalinskaya 35¢ $8 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt BUY Mattia Bellucci 65¢ $11 1h
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Group BUY Power Rangers 82¢ $8 1h
Dota 2: Dandelions vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Group BUY Power Rangers 84¢ $9 1h
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Noir Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Gro BUY Ilbirs eSports 45¢ $25 1h
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS (BO5) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM BUY RED Canids 59¢ $13 1h
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs BUY UCAM Esports Club 16¢ $4 1h
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs BUY Galions 72¢ $12 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 70¢ $9 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 29¢ $7 1h
Rainbow Six Siege: FaZe Clan vs Fluxo W7M (BO1) - South America League BUY FaZe Clan 63¢ $17 1h
Rainbow Six Siege: LOS vs LOUD (BO1) - South America League Stage 1 Gr BUY LOS 60¢ $18 1h
Rainbow Six Siege: Black Dragons e-Sports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO1) - BUY Ninjas in Pyjamas 64¢ $20 1h
Rainbow Six Siege: INTZ vs FURIA Esports (BO1) - South America League BUY INTZ 22¢ $4 1h
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions BUY Samsung Lions 58¢ $4 2h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 18¢ $10 2h
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigers BUY Kia Tigers 44¢ $8 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-16.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 286 -7.2% -16.0% 47% 46% -15.8%
≤30d 638 -8.0% -16.7% 47% 47% -15.6%
≤90d 638 -8.0% -16.7% 47% 47% -15.6%
all 638 -8.0% -16.7% 47% 47% -15.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover36.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.7% 47% -15.6%
10% ← realistic here -24.7% 45% -23.7%
15% -32.0% 42% -31.0%
20% -38.7% 37% -37.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $398.90 · official $398.95 (match) · 1396 history records