Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:44:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

54
0x542e…e88e
crypto · 617 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$213 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$215 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$31
Realized−$215
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses589 / 27
Open positions1
Markets (closed)616 / 617
History coverage26d
Avg bet$94
Trades / day81.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 616 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$47
7 days−$46
14 days−$75
30 days−$215
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 89¢ 52¢ $36 $21 −$15 (-42%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 41¢ 48¢ $8 $10 +$2 (+18%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $194 $0 −$194 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $177 $0 −$177 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$4 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $40 +$5 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $33 −$11 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $33 −$3 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $33 −$8 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $27 +$9 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$4 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $32 +$8 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$4 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$8 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $40 +$11 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$14 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $38 +$8 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $33 +$7 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $42 +$8 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $40 +$6 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $53 −$23 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $48 −$28 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $44 −$9 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$4 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$4 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$5 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $37 −$21 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 04 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 04 $14 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 04 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 04 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 04 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 04 $19 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 04 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 04 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 04 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 04 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 04 $13 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 04 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 04 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 04 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 04 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 04 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 04 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 04 $23 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 04 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$213
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 14m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 31 -6.4% -15.3% 52% 39% -14.4%
≤30d 616 -0.7% -10.2% 96% 2% -9.9%
≤90d 616 -0.7% -10.2% 96% 2% -9.9%
all 616 -0.7% -10.2% 96% 2% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover81.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.2% 2% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.8% 1% -18.5%
15% -26.6% 0% -26.4%
20% -33.8% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $30.55 · official $32.74 · 3500 history records