Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:59:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

54
0x542c…ed1c
crypto · 1270 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$254 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$254 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$254
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses897 / 373
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1270 / 1270
History coverage58d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day42.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 1270 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$108
7 days−$20
14 days−$202
30 days−$285
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$5 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$3 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$4 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$8 +51%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$4 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$4 +29%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$4 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$4 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$3 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$6 +55%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +40%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$3 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$5 +45%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$3 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$12 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$5 +46%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +46%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$4 +28%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$5 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$4 +28%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$5 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +33%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$3 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$5 +44%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$244
other 2% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $15 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $12 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $8 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $11 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $11 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $15 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $15 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $15 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $15 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $11 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $7 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $15 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $11 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $11 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $11 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $13 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $15 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $15 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $11 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $11 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $15 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $12 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $7 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $11 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +68%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 277 -2.3% -11.6% 73% 72% -10.1%
≤30d 982 -2.4% -11.7% 73% 71% -11.7%
≤90d 1270 -1.8% -11.1% 71% 68% -11.1%
all 1270 -1.8% -11.1% 71% 68% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover42.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.1% 68% -11.1%
10% ← realistic here -19.6% 62% -19.6%
15% -27.4% 26% -27.3%
20% -34.5% 8% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records