Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:41:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

54
0x5422…13b9
crypto · 166 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$79 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$111 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$111
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses71 / 95
Open positions0
Markets (closed)166 / 166
History coverage5d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day144.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 166 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$42
7 days−$111
14 days−$111
30 days−$111
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$4 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $56 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$2 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $76 −$10 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $69 −$8 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $18 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $18 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $18 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $18 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$6 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$4 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$4 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $18 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$9 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$7 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $29 +$11 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$4 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$111
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 8¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 9¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 17¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET SELL Down 34¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-23.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 166 -15.9% -23.9% 43% 20% -14.8%
≤30d 166 -15.9% -23.9% 43% 20% -14.8%
≤90d 166 -15.9% -23.9% 43% 20% -14.8%
all 166 -15.9% -23.9% 43% 20% -14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover144.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.9% 20% -14.8%
10% ← realistic here -31.2% 7% -22.9%
15% -37.8% 4% -30.4%
20% -43.9% 3% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 842 history records