trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 28 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 28 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $1,335 | $1,335 | −$1 (-0%) |
| Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $24 | $24 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dominik Szoboszlai win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Jun 24 | $1,277 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Jun 23 | $1,179 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 23 | $63 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun | Jun 23 | $37 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup | Jun 23 | $1,225 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 23 | $1,193 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 14 | $105 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 14 | $35 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 14 | $836 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parlia | May 11 | $50 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Yoon Sang-hyun win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? | May 11 | $27 | $0 | -0% |
| Will DRX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? | May 10 | $66 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | May 10 | $824 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 10 | $841 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 10 | $806 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Tommy Paul win the 2026 Men's French Open? | May 09 | $36 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Electi | May 09 | $862 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | May 09 | $897 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 09 | $793 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? | May 04 | $59 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | May 04 | $814 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 04 | $889 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 02 | $192 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Brian Harman win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 01 | $27 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Apr 01 | $18 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Mar 29 | $169 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO | Mar 29 | $28 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | Mar 29 | $71 | $0 | -0% |