trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 25 | -41.2% | -46.8% | 32% | 28% | -12.1% |
| ≤30d | 25 | -41.2% | -46.8% | 32% | 28% | -12.1% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -41.2% | -46.8% | 32% | 28% | -12.1% |
| all | 25 | -41.2% | -46.8% | 32% | 28% | -12.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -46.8% | 28% | -12.1% |
| 10% | -51.9% | 20% | -20.5% |
| 15% | -56.6% | 20% | -28.2% |
| 20% | -60.8% | 16% | -35.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 86¢ | 100¢ | $50 | $58 | +$8 (+16%) |
| Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goals | No | 91¢ | 58¢ | $50 | $32 | −$18 (-36%) |
| Portugal leading at halftime? | Yes | 69¢ | 100¢ | $2 | $3 | +$1 (+45%) |
| England vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 0.5 | Over | 42¢ | 42¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Ghana to score first vs. England? | Yes | 16¢ | 15¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-6%) |
| Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Uzbekistan? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goals | Jun 23 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals | Jun 23 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Saudi Arabia? | Jun 23 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 3 Japan? | Jun 23 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 23 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Saudi Arabia? | Jun 23 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Austria to score first vs. Argentina? | Jun 23 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 23 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Austria? | Jun 23 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $100 | +$10 | +10% |
| Spread: France (-2.5) | Jun 23 | $5 | +$4 | +76% |
| Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 1.5 | Jun 22 | $3 | +$2 | +67% |
| France vs. Iraq: Iraq 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Jun 22 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | Jun 22 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $50 | +$5 | +11% |
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | Jun 21 | $1 | +$1 | +86% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $20 | +$9 | +44% |
| Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $1 | +$4 | +365% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $20 | +$2 | +11% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |