Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T12:35:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

54
0x540c…5c6f
crypto · 57 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$57 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$57 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$57
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses24 / 32
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)56 / 57
History coverage4d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day48.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 1 History 56 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$42
7 days−$57
14 days−$57
30 days−$57
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Spurs 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$10 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$8 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$3 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$15 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$5 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$4 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $36 −$11 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $27 +$8 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$7 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$6 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$7 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $37 −$17 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$6 +127%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +127%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$6 +127%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$5 +127%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$6 +127%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -94%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 81% −$40
other 19% −$16
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-17.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 56 -9.1% -17.8% 43% 41% -20.9%
≤30d 56 -9.1% -17.8% 43% 41% -20.9%
≤90d 56 -9.1% -17.8% 43% 41% -20.9%
all 56 -9.1% -17.8% 43% 41% -20.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover48.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.8% 41% -20.9%
10% ← realistic here -25.6% 41% -28.5%
15% -32.8% 38% -35.4%
20% -39.4% 32% -41.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.04 · official $1.04 (match) · 229 history records