Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:48:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
54 0x5401…7fab crypto 1890 markets active 5d ago coverage 9d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 8d only
✗ bot/MM pace (219 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$70 (+4%) realized +$70 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR42%break-even
Win rate85%1610W / 283L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day218.5pace
Kalshi-fit88%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days−$20
14 days−$28
30 days−$28
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 88% +$12
other 12% −$27
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (219 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-11.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 260 -4.4% -13.5% 85% 36% -16.2%
≤30d 1893 -1.8% -11.2% 85% 42% -10.8%
≤90d 1893 -1.8% -11.2% 85% 42% -10.8%
all 1893 -1.8% -11.2% 85% 42% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover218.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.2% 42% -10.8%
10% ← realistic here -19.7% 16% -19.3%
15% -27.4% 6% -27.1%
20% -34.6% 2% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
47% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.16 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.91 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

9d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$70
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses1610 / 283
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1893 / 1890
History coverage9d ⚠
Avg bet$1
Trades / day218.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1893 Trades
no open positions (283 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +73%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +28%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +14%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +25%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +22%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +14%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +26%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +15%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +28%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records