trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -40.1% | -45.8% | 25% | 25% | -8.5% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -40.1% | -45.8% | 25% | 25% | -8.5% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -40.1% | -45.8% | 25% | 25% | -8.5% |
| all | 12 | -26.4% | -33.4% | 50% | 25% | -28.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -33.4% | 25% | -28.0% |
| 10% | -39.8% | 8% | -34.9% |
| 15% | -45.6% | 8% | -41.2% |
| 20% | -50.9% | 0% | -47.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 83¢ | 82¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 65¢ | 64¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 44¢ | 34¢ | $50 | $39 | −$11 (-22%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $50 | +$24 | +48% |
| Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $20 | −$2 | -8% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Mar 06 | $10 | $0 | +5% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? | Mar 05 | $10 | $0 | +4% |
| Will England win the 2024 Euros? | Mar 03 | $19 | −$19 | -100% |
| Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2 | Jul 19 | $19 | +$3 | +15% |
| Ethereum all time high in 2024? | Dec 22 | $11 | +$1 | +14% |
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | Dec 22 | $11 | +$1 | +7% |
| Will Dortmund win the 2023-24 Champions League? | Jun 02 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Real Madrid vs. Dortmund: Champions League Final | Jun 01 | $40 | $0 | -0% |