trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 50% | 0% | -9.2% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +2.0% | -7.8% | 50% | 10% | -9.2% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +2.0% | -7.8% | 50% | 10% | -9.2% |
| all | 22 | +1.6% | -8.1% | 64% | 5% | -9.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.1% | 5% | -9.2% |
| 10% | -16.9% | 0% | -17.9% |
| 15% | -24.9% | 0% | -25.8% |
| 20% | -32.3% | 0% | -33.1% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | Jun 24 | $117 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 23 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 06 | $27 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | Jun 06 | $2 | $0 | +8% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 05 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 04 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | May 30 | $44 | +$1 | +1% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 29 | $2 | $0 | +11% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 28 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 28 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025? | Dec 23 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31? | Jun 01 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Mario Grech be the next pope? | May 09 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? | May 08 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will egg prices be between $5.25 and $5.50 in March? | Apr 09 | $22 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025? | Apr 08 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40k in April? | Apr 07 | $22 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Apr 07 | $22 | $0 | -1% |
| Will MrBeast buy TikTok before July? | Apr 05 | $22 | $0 | +1% |
| Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government? | Apr 04 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025? | Apr 03 | $1 | $0 | +4% |