trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 26 | +124.3% | +102.9% | 31% | 31% | -7.5% |
| ≤30d | 29 | +113.9% | +93.5% | 31% | 31% | -11.8% |
| ≤90d | 29 | +113.9% | +93.5% | 31% | 31% | -11.8% |
| all | 29 | +113.9% | +93.5% | 31% | 31% | -11.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +93.5% | 31% | -11.8% |
| 10% | +75.0% | 31% | -20.2% |
| 15% | +58.1% | 31% | -27.9% |
| 20% | +42.6% | 24% | -35.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 12¢ | 15¢ | $25 | $31 | +$6 (+24%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 5¢ | $25 | $22 | −$2 (-9%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 11¢ | $25 | $21 | −$4 (-15%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $76 | +$502 | +662% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $25 | −$4 | -16% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $25 | −$25 | -97% |
| Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $51 | −$49 | -97% |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $210 | −$207 | -98% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $200 | +$251 | +125% |
| Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $50 | −$49 | -98% |
| Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $3 | $0 | -14% |
| Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $25 | −$25 | -97% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $157 | +$78 | +50% |
| Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $50 | −$49 | -98% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $258 | −$255 | -99% |
| Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $25 | −$25 | -97% |
| Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $25 | +$197 | +779% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $35 | −$8 | -22% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $276 | +$287 | +104% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $49 | +$34 | +70% |
| Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $100 | −$98 | -98% |
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $70 | −$69 | -98% |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $25 | −$25 | -97% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $101 | −$98 | -98% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $50 | −$49 | -98% |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $25 | −$25 | -97% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $296 | +$161 | +55% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $201 | +$96 | +48% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $124 | −$121 | -97% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $25 | +$69 | +272% |