Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:41:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

53
0x53e9…ce53
sports · 327 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$278 -22%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$273 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$22
Realized−$273
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses104 / 216
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions7
Markets (closed)320 / 327
History coverage183d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day3.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 7 History 320 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$32
14 days+$17
30 days+$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 50¢ 100¢ $4 $8 +$4 (+99%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 35¢ 100¢ $2 $6 +$4 (+186%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 21¢ 77¢ $1 $4 +$3 (+267%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 65¢ 30¢ $4 $2 −$2 (-53%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? Yes 12¢ 4¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-66%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 46¢ 23¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-50%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Legacy 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Legacy 25¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner Aurora Gaming 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner Aurora Gaming 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B Spirit 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Astralis 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 B8 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winner Team Falcons 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner NRG 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner FaZe 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage EYEBALLERS 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 - Map 2 Winner B8 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN - Map 1 Winner BC.Game Esports 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs MIBR 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 4 Winner Team Falcons 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner THUNDER dOWNUNDER 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Sinners - Map 2 Winner BetBoom Team 14¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 +$5 +53%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $3 +$3 +86%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $4 +$1 +31%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 +$3 +165%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $2 +$2 +114%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $3 +$2 +82%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $2 −$2 -99%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $5 +$3 +50%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $2 +$3 +129%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $5 +$2 +46%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $5 +$3 +55%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $5 +$4 +73%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 08 $4 +$7 +178%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $2 −$2 -99%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $4 −$4 -98%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $4 −$4 -98%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $3 −$3 -99%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $10 −$10 -99%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $3 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 06 $13 −$13 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $3 −$3 -99%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 06 $2 −$2 -97%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $7 +$60 +840%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $5 −$5 -99%
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner Jun 04 $2 −$2 -97%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 02 $1 −$1 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Jun 02 $3 −$3 -99%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $1 −$1 -97%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO1) - IEM Cologne Jun 02 $3 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $7 +$3 +44%
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 29 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 28 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 28 $1 $0 -9%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 3 Winner May 24 $2 +$2 +119%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner May 24 $3 +$3 +93%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships P May 24 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 4 Winner May 24 $3 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner May 24 $6 −$6 -98%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs May 23 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Pla May 23 $5 −$2 -39%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 94% −$256
other 2% $0
finance 2% −$20
world 2% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 62¢ $1 19m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 66¢ $3 29m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 46¢ $3 29m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 27¢ $4 35m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 21¢ $1 47m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 35¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Legacy 25¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Legacy 25¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 59¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 46¢ $3 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 75¢ $2 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL FUT Esports 61¢ $2 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 56¢ $2 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 56¢ $3 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 56¢ $3 3h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 37¢ $2 6h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 53¢ $3 6h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 48¢ $3 21h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 46¢ $2 24h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 17¢ $1 24h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Vitality 76¢ $4 27h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 53¢ $2 29h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY TheMongolz 51¢ $3 29h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 37¢ $2 30h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner SELL TheMongolz 87¢ $5 30h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 49¢ $2 31h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 47¢ $3 31h
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY BIG 57¢ $2 2d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY paiN 29¢ $1 3d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner BUY paiN 42¢ $3 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-31.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 +0.0% -9.5% 41% 41% +13.7%
≤30d 92 -16.1% -24.1% 36% 35% -4.5%
≤90d 272 -26.2% -33.2% 32% 31% -31.6%
all 320 -24.4% -31.6% 32% 32% -29.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -31.6% 32% -29.9%
10% -38.1% 30% -36.6%
15% -44.1% 28% -42.8%
20% -49.6% 24% -48.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $22.45 · official $22.45 (match) · 672 history records