trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 22 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 25 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 26 | $1,133 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 26 | $62 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 26 | $1,186 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027? | Jun 26 | $1,160 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 04 | $85 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? | May 04 | $39 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31 | May 04 | $28 | $0 | -0% |
| USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch? | Apr 17 | $43 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Apr 17 | $78 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Kim Byeong-ju win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Electi | Apr 17 | $1,042 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 17 | $1,002 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | Apr 16 | $47 | $0 | -0% |
| Will St. Louis City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | Apr 16 | $46 | $0 | -0% |
| Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026? | Apr 16 | $1,028 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 16 | $1,034 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 14 | $1,018 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Apr 14 | $66 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Apr 14 | $1,024 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April | Apr 14 | $1,014 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Larry Page be richest person on December 31? | Mar 31 | $191 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Mar 31 | $56 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Mar 31 | $20 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 27 | $172 | $0 | -0% |
| Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026? | Mar 27 | $16 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 27 | $21 | $0 | -0% |