Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:26:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

53
0x5399…afb0
crypto · 70 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses38 / 32
Open positions0
Markets (closed)70 / 70
History coverage19d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day9.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 70 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days+$9
14 days+$9
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$2 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$5 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$5 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET May 27 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET May 27 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET May 26 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET May 26 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET May 26 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET May 26 $1 +$2 +165%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET May 26 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET May 26 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET May 26 $1 +$1 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET May 26 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET May 26 $1 +$6 +574%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET May 26 $1 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET May 25 $2 $0 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET May 25 $1 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Up 57¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 31¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Up 69¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Down 54¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-15.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 -7.7% -16.5% 50% 42% -0.8%
≤30d 70 -6.8% -15.6% 54% 37% -9.6%
≤90d 70 -6.8% -15.6% 54% 37% -9.6%
all 70 -6.8% -15.6% 54% 37% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.6% 37% -9.6%
10% -23.7% 27% -18.3%
15% -31.1% 20% -26.2%
20% -37.8% 20% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 221 history records