Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:40:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

53
0x5396…a0ce
other · 32 markets active 0h ago
3.0score
+$16 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$16 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$16
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses9 / 23
Open positions0
Markets (closed)32 / 32
History coverage264d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown11%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 0 History 32 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days+$3
14 days+$3
30 days+$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia Jun 13 $42 $0 +0%
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 13 $33 $0 -0%
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Jun 13 $47 $0 +0%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 12 $29 $0 +0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Jun 10 $21 +$3 +12%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 09 $19 −$2 -10%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? Jun 09 $49 +$2 +4%
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026? Dec 25 $22 +$1 +7%
Will Brighton win on 2025-12-03? Dec 12 $12 +$8 +72%
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30? Nov 24 $12 $0 +0%
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-29? Nov 24 $22 $0 +0%
Will Wolves win on 2025-11-22? Nov 24 $9 +$3 +32%
Will Fulham win on 2025-11-22? Nov 20 $9 $0 +0%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Nov 19 $9 $0 +0%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Nov 19 $10 $0 +1%
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025? Oct 09 $9 $0 +0%
Will Benny Safdie win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? Oct 09 $9 $0 -0%
Will Trump pardon Himself in 2025? Oct 09 $9 $0 +0%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan? Oct 06 $7 $0 +0%
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025? Oct 06 $2 $0 +0%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Oct 05 $16 $0 -0%
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? Oct 05 $7 $0 -0%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Oct 05 $2 $0 +0%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Oct 05 $9 $0 -0%
Will Trump be impeached in 2025? Oct 02 $9 $0 +0%
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series? Oct 02 $34 $0 -0%
Will Israel strike Syria by September 30? Oct 02 $7 $0 +6%
Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025? Sep 25 $28 $0 -0%
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election? Sep 25 $4 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in September? Sep 23 $5 $0 +0%
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Sep 23 $1 $0 +0%
Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series? Sep 23 $28 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 47% +$3
other 38% +$13
politics 10% $0
sports 3% $0
culture 2% $0
crypto 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL Yes 58¢ $6 8m
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL Yes 58¢ $21 9m
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL Yes 58¢ $14 9m
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia BUY Yes 58¢ $27 1h
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia BUY Yes 58¢ $5 1h
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia BUY Yes 58¢ $11 1h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 15¢ $10 4h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 15¢ $10 8h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 14¢ $6 13h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 14¢ $17 13h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 14¢ $23 17h
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? SELL No 94¢ $47 18h
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? BUY No 94¢ $47 19h
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL Yes 35¢ $22 28h
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL Yes 35¢ $7 28h
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY Yes 35¢ $29 31h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? SELL No 27¢ $2 2d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? SELL No 27¢ $22 2d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? BUY No 24¢ $1 2d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? BUY No 24¢ $9 2d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? BUY No 24¢ $11 2d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 38¢ $17 4d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 42¢ $15 4d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 42¢ $4 4d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? SELL No 38¢ $18 4d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? BUY No 39¢ $18 4d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? SELL No 39¢ $4 4d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? SELL No 39¢ $26 4d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? SELL No 39¢ $4 4d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? BUY No 36¢ $9 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-6.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +1.0% -8.6% 29% 14% -8.4%
≤30d 7 +1.0% -8.6% 29% 14% -8.4%
≤90d 7 +1.0% -8.6% 29% 14% -8.4%
all 32 +3.9% -6.0% 28% 9% -6.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.0% 9% -6.8%
10% -15.0% 6% -15.7%
15% -23.2% 3% -23.9%
20% -30.8% 3% -31.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 106 history records