trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +100.0% | +81.0% | 100% | 100% | +81.0% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +1.4% | -8.3% | 75% | 25% | -41.9% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -6.9% | -15.7% | 67% | 44% | -37.9% |
| all | 13 | -7.3% | -16.1% | 62% | 46% | -31.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.1% | 46% | -31.4% |
| 10% | -24.1% | 38% | -38.0% |
| 15% | -31.5% | 38% | -43.9% |
| 20% | -38.2% | 38% | -49.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 10¢ | 10¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-5%) |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Yes | 15¢ | 6¢ | $2 | $1 | −$1 (-63%) |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | 83¢ | 0¢ | $20 | $0 | −$20 (-100%) |
| Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-05-29? | No | 39¢ | 0¢ | $14 | $0 | −$14 (-100%) |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | Top Esports | 33¢ | 0¢ | $15 | $0 | −$15 (-100%) |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April? | Yes | 41¢ | 0¢ | $11 | $0 | −$11 (-100%) |
| LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffs | Fnatic | 52¢ | 0¢ | $41 | $0 | −$41 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 15 | $1 | +$1 | +100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | Jun 03 | $6 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-05-29? | May 28 | $14 | −$14 | -98% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | May 16 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | May 13 | $2 | +$2 | +63% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | May 13 | $8 | +$2 | +18% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April? | Apr 17 | $11 | −$11 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Heat | Apr 17 | $15 | +$8 | +52% |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qu | Mar 30 | $15 | −$15 | -99% |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Feb 21 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffs | Feb 16 | $41 | −$41 | -100% |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-13? | Feb 16 | $30 | +$18 | +59% |
| Hawks vs. Pacers | Feb 07 | $21 | +$23 | +108% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? | BUY Yes | 10¢ | $1 | 1h |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | BUY Yes | 15¢ | $2 | 11d |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | BUY No | 96¢ | $6 | 15d |
| Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-05-29? | BUY No | 39¢ | $14 | 17d |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | BUY Yes | 50¢ | $1 | 29d |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | BUY No | 99¢ | $12 | 32d |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | BUY No | 61¢ | $2 | 57d |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 84¢ | $8 | 57d |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April? | BUY Yes | 41¢ | $11 | 58d |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qu | BUY Top Esports | 33¢ | $15 | 76d |
| Spurs vs. Heat | BUY Spurs | 66¢ | $15 | 83d |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY No | 83¢ | $20 | 113d |
| LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffs | BUY Fnatic | 52¢ | $41 | 118d |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-13? | BUY Yes | 63¢ | $30 | 124d |
| Hawks vs. Pacers | BUY Pacers | 48¢ | $21 | 134d |