Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:42:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

53
0x5392…c624
other · 7 markets active 2h ago
2.0score
+$4 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses4 / 3
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)7 / 7
History coverage1d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day12.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit43%
Chart Positions 0 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$4
14 days+$4
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $10 +$5 +50%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $20 +$19 +94%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $10 +$4 +42%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $30 −$21 -68%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $10 −$5 -54%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $20 −$7 -33%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $20 +$9 +43%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 75% $0
sports 25% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 100¢ $15 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 92¢ $39 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 66¢ $10 5h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $10 5h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 99¢ $14 6h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 14¢ $10 6h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 30¢ $10 8h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $10 9h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 69¢ $10 11h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $20 11h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 33¢ $5 24h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 23¢ $14 24h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 70¢ $10 26h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $29 29h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 33¢ $20 33h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $20 33h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-0.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +10.5% -0.0% 57% 57% -6.5%
≤30d 7 +10.5% -0.0% 57% 57% -6.5%
≤90d 7 +10.5% -0.0% 57% 57% -6.5%
all 7 +10.5% -0.0% 57% 57% -6.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -0.0% 57% -6.5%
10% -9.6% 57% -15.5%
15% -18.3% 57% -23.6%
20% -26.3% 14% -31.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 16 history records