Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:34:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

53
0x5386…f4ee
crypto · 44 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$23 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$23 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$23
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses24 / 20
Open positions0
Markets (closed)44 / 44
History coverage1d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day83.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 44 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$23
7 days−$23
14 days−$23
30 days−$23
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$4 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$15 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $48 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$8 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$12 +296%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$8 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$5 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$11 +171%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +38%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Up 68¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET SELL Up 53¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Up 33¢ $4 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $16 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 25¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Down 82¢ $15 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $15 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Down 81¢ $16 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $15 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $20 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $15 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $15 52m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-20.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 -12.4% -20.8% 55% 34% -18.5%
≤30d 44 -12.4% -20.8% 55% 34% -18.5%
≤90d 44 -12.4% -20.8% 55% 34% -18.5%
all 44 -12.4% -20.8% 55% 34% -18.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover83.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.8% 34% -18.5%
10% ← realistic here -28.3% 30% -26.3%
15% -35.3% 27% -33.4%
20% -41.6% 20% -39.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 108 history records