Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:08:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

53
0x5382…8d53
sports · 895 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$293 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$293 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$293
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses371 / 523
Est. fees paid−$74
Open positions1
Markets (closed)894 / 895
History coverage76d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day34.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 894 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$23
7 days−$49
14 days−$56
30 days−$56
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down on June 14? Down 27¢ 36¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+35%)
Solana Up or Down on June 6? Down 36¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+178%)
Orlando City SC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 2.5 Under 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down on June 11? Down 15¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down on June 6? Up 24¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5 Over 46¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
CA River Plate vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 2.5 Over 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Seattle Sounders FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 2.5 Under 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Seattle Sounders FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 3.5 Under 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
D.C. United SC vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 2.5 Under 44¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Real Salt Lake vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 2.5 Under 37¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5 Over 42¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down on June 13? Jun 13 $158 +$28 +18%
Solana Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $78 −$4 -6%
Solana Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $388 −$29 -7%
Solana Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $148 −$48 -32%
Solana Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $46 +$6 +12%
Solana Up or Down on June 8? Jun 08 $24 +$5 +23%
Solana Up or Down on June 7? Jun 07 $24 −$7 -28%
Solana Up or Down on June 6? Jun 06 $14 −$7 -54%
FC Dallas vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 2.5 May 14 $3 +$2 +75%
FC Dallas vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5 May 14 $2 +$4 +163%
FC Cincinnati vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5 May 14 $6 −$3 -52%
CF Montréal vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 3.5 May 14 $7 +$11 +163%
Charlotte FC vs. New York City FC: O/U 2.5 May 14 $2 +$3 +127%
CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: O/U 1.5 May 14 $1 −$1 -100%
CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: O/U 2.5 May 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Seattle Sounders FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 2.5 May 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Seattle Sounders FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 3.5 May 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Real Salt Lake vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 2.5 May 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 May 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Getafe CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5 May 14 $8 +$15 +181%
CA River Plate vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 2.5 May 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5 May 13 $2 +$4 +156%
Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5 May 13 $7 +$6 +90%
Rangers FC vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 3.5 May 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5 May 13 $2 −$2 -100%
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 May 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Orlando City SC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 2.5 May 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5 May 13 $7 −$7 -100%
D.C. United SC vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 2.5 May 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ulsan HD FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 2.5 May 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 2.5 May 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5 May 13 $7 −$7 -100%
CA Belgrano vs. CA Unión: O/U 2.5 May 13 $2 −$2 -100%
CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5 May 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Kilmarnock FC vs. Dundee FC: O/U 2.5 May 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Dundee United FC vs. Livingston FC: O/U 2.5 May 12 $5 +$7 +150%
Red Star FC vs. Rodez Aveyron Football: O/U 2.5 May 12 $2 +$3 +104%
Real Betis Balompié vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5 May 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Modena FC 2018 vs. SS Juve Stabia: O/U 2.5 May 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Gangwon FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 2.5 May 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Incheon United FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 2.5 May 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Gwangju FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5 May 12 $7 +$8 +119%
Millwall FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5 May 12 $5 −$2 -42%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5 May 12 $9 +$6 +58%
SD Huesca vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5 May 12 $2 +$3 +127%
Vitória SC vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 2.5 May 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Randers FC vs. Odense BK: O/U 2.5 May 11 $1 −$1 -100%
NAC Breda vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 3.5 May 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Los Angeles FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 2.5 May 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF América: O/U 2.5 May 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 79% −$215
crypto 21% −$76
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down on June 14? BUY Down 24¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down on June 14? BUY Down 25¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down on June 14? BUY Down 25¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down on June 14? BUY Down 25¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down on June 14? SELL Up 69¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down on June 14? SELL Down 32¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down on June 14? SELL Up 67¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down on June 14? BUY Down 34¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down on June 14? SELL Up 66¢ $9 1h
Solana Up or Down on June 14? SELL Down 47¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down on June 14? BUY Down 48¢ $8 1h
Solana Up or Down on June 14? BUY Up 40¢ $1 5h
Solana Up or Down on June 14? BUY Up 39¢ $1 6h
Solana Up or Down on June 14? SELL Down 64¢ $4 6h
Solana Up or Down on June 14? SELL Down 61¢ $0 6h
Solana Up or Down on June 14? SELL Down 61¢ $0 6h
Solana Up or Down on June 14? SELL Down 61¢ $0 6h
Solana Up or Down on June 14? SELL Down 63¢ $0 6h
Solana Up or Down on June 14? SELL Down 61¢ $1 6h
Solana Up or Down on June 14? SELL Down 58¢ $0 6h
Solana Up or Down on June 14? SELL Down 60¢ $1 6h
Solana Up or Down on June 14? SELL Down 61¢ $1 6h
Solana Up or Down on June 14? SELL Down 62¢ $2 6h
Solana Up or Down on June 14? SELL Up 45¢ $3 6h
Solana Up or Down on June 14? BUY Down 55¢ $9 6h
Solana Up or Down on June 14? BUY Up 45¢ $9 7h
Solana Up or Down on June 13? BUY Up 81¢ $9 10h
Solana Up or Down on June 13? SELL Down 18¢ $1 11h
Solana Up or Down on June 13? SELL Down 16¢ $0 11h
Solana Up or Down on June 13? SELL Down 19¢ $0 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-13.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -16.2% -24.1% 43% 43% -14.1%
≤30d 8 -26.6% -33.6% 38% 38% -15.1%
≤90d 894 -4.4% -13.5% 41% 41% -14.4%
all 894 -4.4% -13.5% 41% 41% -14.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover34.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.5% 41% -14.4%
10% ← realistic here -21.8% 39% -22.6%
15% -29.3% 38% -30.1%
20% -36.3% 37% -36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.70 · official $3.82 (match) · 3500 history records