trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $4 | +$1 | +16% |
| Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | +27% |
| Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Ministe | Jun 11 | $15 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Starmer say "Reform" during the next Prime Minister's Questions e | Jun 11 | $3 | +$1 | +18% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +15.7% | +4.6% | 100% | 75% | -3.1% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +15.7% | +4.6% | 100% | 75% | -3.1% |
| ≤90d | 4 | +15.7% | +4.6% | 100% | 75% | -3.1% |
| all | 4 | +15.7% | +4.6% | 100% | 75% | -3.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +4.6% | 75% | -3.1% |
| 10% | -5.4% | 25% | -12.4% |
| 15% | -14.5% | 0% | -20.8% |
| 20% | -22.9% | 0% | -28.6% |