Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:21:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

53
0x5371…76eb
crypto · 151 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$36,123 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$47,044 · open −$6,352
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$304,239
Realized+$47,044
Unrealized−$6,352
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses108 / 5
Whale WR (big bets)93%
Open positions38
Markets (closed)113 / 151
History coverage120d
Avg bet$13,611
Trades / day7.8
Drawdown24%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 38 History 113 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$132
14 days−$2,879
30 days+$13,947
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana all time high by June 30, 2026? No 96¢ 100¢ $44,272 $46,181 +$1,909 (+4%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No 55¢ 44¢ $43,728 $35,123 −$8,605 (-20%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No 67¢ 60¢ $28,357 $25,750 −$2,606 (-9%)
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No 89¢ 92¢ $24,456 $25,370 +$914 (+4%)
Will XRP reach $1.80 in June? No 98¢ 99¢ $21,944 $22,188 +$245 (+1%)
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? No 93¢ 94¢ $17,344 $17,372 +$28 (+0%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? No 91¢ 95¢ $14,161 $14,666 +$505 (+4%)
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? No 97¢ 100¢ $9,389 $9,662 +$273 (+3%)
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June? No 93¢ 94¢ $8,359 $8,407 +$47 (+1%)
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June? No 96¢ 97¢ $7,970 $8,058 +$88 (+1%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June? No 89¢ 96¢ $6,690 $7,222 +$531 (+8%)
Will Solana dip to $40 in June? No 94¢ 98¢ $6,563 $6,874 +$311 (+5%)
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No 94¢ 94¢ $6,572 $6,537 −$35 (-1%)
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June? No 95¢ 98¢ $6,314 $6,488 +$174 (+3%)
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? No 98¢ 100¢ $6,282 $6,418 +$136 (+2%)
Will Solana dip to $50 in June? No 94¢ 93¢ $6,376 $6,336 −$41 (-1%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No 76¢ 68¢ $6,795 $6,092 −$704 (-10%)
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No 87¢ 86¢ $5,461 $5,441 −$20 (-0%)
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in June? No 99¢ 99¢ $5,107 $5,125 +$18 (+0%)
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June? No 96¢ 99¢ $4,806 $4,914 +$107 (+2%)
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No 89¢ 90¢ $3,574 $3,613 +$40 (+1%)
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No 90¢ 90¢ $3,426 $3,415 −$12 (-0%)
Will Solana reach $90 in June? No 95¢ 96¢ $2,755 $2,790 +$35 (+1%)
Will Solana reach $100 in June? No 97¢ 98¢ $2,473 $2,516 +$42 (+2%)
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in June? No 96¢ 97¢ $1,906 $1,939 +$33 (+2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Solana dip to $55 on June 5? Jun 08 $582 +$16 +3%
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 June 1-7? Jun 08 $5,846 +$117 +2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 05 $2,489 −$170 -7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 04 $12,255 −$5,001 -41%
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May? Jun 02 $71,512 +$1,513 +2%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May? Jun 02 $14,916 +$63 +0%
Will Solana reach $110 in May? Jun 02 $7,984 +$149 +2%
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 May 25-31? Jun 02 $7,461 +$92 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May? Jun 02 $4,950 +$75 +2%
Will XRP reach $2.00 in May? Jun 02 $4,161 +$31 +1%
Will Solana dip to $70 in May? Jun 02 $2,401 +$131 +6%
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May? Jun 02 $2,267 +$21 +1%
Will Solana reach $100 in May? Jun 02 $2,170 +$60 +3%
Will Solana reach $120 in May? Jun 02 $988 +$11 +1%
Will Solana reach $130 in May? Jun 02 $574 +$6 +1%
Will XRP reach $2.20 in May? Jun 02 $348 +$2 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May? Jun 02 $294 +$5 +2%
Will XRP reach $1.80 in May? Jun 02 $197 +$2 +1%
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 May 18-24? May 23 $2,417 −$106 -4%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February? May 19 $36,279 +$1,093 +3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February? May 19 $120,130 +$1,380 +1%
Will Solana dip to $40 in April? May 19 $196 +$3 +2%
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 April 20-26? May 19 $208 +$1 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April? May 19 $776 +$20 +3%
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April? May 19 $2,630 +$34 +1%
Will XRP reach $2.20 in April? May 19 $889 +$9 +1%
Will XRP reach $3.00 in April? May 19 $996 +$4 +0%
Will XRP reach $2.00 in April? May 19 $1,373 +$21 +2%
Will XRP reach $2.40 in April? May 19 $1,484 +$12 +1%
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April? May 19 $1,298 +$256 +20%
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in April? May 19 $1,924 +$73 +4%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in April? May 19 $3,502 +$32 +1%
Will Solana reach $140 in April? May 19 $3,934 +$58 +2%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in April? May 19 $4,804 +$186 +4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April? May 19 $4,839 +$187 +4%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April? May 19 $6,244 +$153 +2%
Will Solana reach $130 in April? May 19 $5,569 +$110 +2%
Will Solana dip to $50 in April? May 19 $5,509 +$184 +3%
Will Solana dip to $60 in April? May 19 $6,789 +$597 +9%
Will XRP reach $1.80 in April? May 19 $9,195 +$377 +4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April? May 19 $9,762 +$162 +2%
Will Solana reach $110 in April? May 19 $12,385 +$924 +8%
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April? May 19 $13,698 +$1,050 +8%
Will Solana reach $120 in April? May 19 $14,400 +$406 +3%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April? May 19 $25,278 +$525 +2%
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in April? May 19 $60,960 +$1,754 +3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April? May 19 $89,361 +$3,492 +4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? May 19 $137,379 +$3,828 +3%
Will Solana reach $100 in April? Apr 23 $140 +$8 +6%
Will Solana reach $100 April 13-19? Apr 20 $1,141 +$24 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$40,692
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Solana dip to $50 in June? BUY No 94¢ $1,884 7m
Will Solana dip to $50 in June? BUY No 94¢ $2,449 9m
Will Solana dip to $50 in June? BUY No 94¢ $2,070 12m
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? BUY No 95¢ $4,780 23m
Will XRP reach $1.40 in June? BUY No 90¢ $632 2h
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 92¢ $648 8h
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? BUY No 93¢ $373 13h
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in June? BUY No 95¢ $667 13h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June? BUY No 94¢ $378 15h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June? BUY No 94¢ $470 16h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June? BUY No 94¢ $375 19h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June? BUY No 93¢ $373 19h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June? BUY No 93¢ $375 19h
Will Solana reach $110 in June? BUY No 98¢ $1,722 20h
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June? BUY No 93¢ $743 27h
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June? BUY No 93¢ $3,715 30h
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? BUY No 91¢ $908 39h
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 93¢ $650 41h
Will XRP reach $1.80 in June? BUY No 99¢ $345 46h
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? BUY No 94¢ $6,599 47h
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 91¢ $2,196 2d
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 87¢ $616 2d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June? BUY No 88¢ $2,519 2d
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June? BUY No 97¢ $3,191 2d
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 90¢ $1,809 2d
Will XRP reach $2.00 in June? BUY No 99¢ $543 2d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June? BUY No 86¢ $2,252 2d
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June? BUY No 94¢ $3,940 2d
Will XRP reach $1.40 in June? BUY No 90¢ $902 2d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June? BUY No 93¢ $372 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-7.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +2.3% -7.4% 100% 0% -7.7%
≤30d 48 +1.6% -8.1% 94% 2% -7.8%
≤90d 88 +2.2% -7.6% 95% 5% -8.3%
all 113 +2.3% -7.4% 96% 4% -7.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.8 tr/day
realistic slip~12%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.4% 4% -7.1%
10% ← realistic here -16.3% 0% -15.9%
15% -24.4% 0% -24.1%
20% -31.8% 0% -31.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $304,238.86 · official $304,238.86 (match) · 1045 history records