Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:57:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

53
0x5364…b506
crypto · 1235 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,108 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,108 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,108
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses452 / 782
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1234 / 1235
History coverage90d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day29.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1234 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$16
7 days−$218
14 days−$244
30 days−$1,290
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +165%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +165%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$3 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$7 +137%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$12 +115%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $18 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$8 +154%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$5 +256%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$6 +275%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,104
weather 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $6 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Up 79¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 13¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Down 13¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $7 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $9 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-19.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 211 -17.7% -25.6% 22% 22% -29.3%
≤30d 1194 -12.6% -21.0% 35% 32% -23.1%
≤90d 1231 -10.8% -19.3% 36% 33% -20.5%
all 1234 -10.7% -19.2% 37% 33% -20.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.2% 33% -20.3%
10% ← realistic here -26.9% 30% -27.9%
15% -34.0% 26% -34.9%
20% -40.4% 21% -41.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3236 history records