Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T09:19:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
53 0x534b…9141 crypto 85 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (254 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$346 (-8%) realized −$346 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -21% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -39% what you keep after slip
Net edge-39%after slip
Net WR59%break-even
Win rate64%54W / 31L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$51per market
Trades / day254.0pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$464
other 0% −$4
sports 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (254 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-28.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 85 -21.1% -28.6% 64% 59% -15.3%
≤30d 85 -21.1% -28.6% 64% 59% -15.3%
≤90d 85 -21.1% -28.6% 64% 59% -15.3%
all 85 -21.1% -28.6% 64% 59% -15.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover254.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -28.6% 59% -15.3%
10% ← realistic here -35.4% 19% -23.4%
15% -41.7% 4% -30.8%
20% -47.4% 0% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -12% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
7% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -21% · $-wt -12% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +4% → late -46% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.1 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$11 vs −$34 · ×0.32 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.55 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$346
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses54 / 31
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)85 / 85
History coverage1d
Avg bet$51
Trades / day254.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 85 Trades
no open positions (12 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 24 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 24 $11 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 24 $41 −$38 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 24 $46 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 24 $10 −$9 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 24 $73 +$15 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 24 $31 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 24 $73 −$70 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 24 $144 +$6 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 24 $93 +$16 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 24 $82 −$63 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 24 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 24 $84 −$69 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 24 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 24 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 24 $84 +$16 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 24 $82 +$11 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 24 $83 +$17 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 24 $72 +$15 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 24 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 24 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 24 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 24 $70 −$57 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 24 $74 +$20 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 24 $72 −$31 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 24 $74 +$23 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 24 $72 −$36 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 24 $73 +$16 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 24 $54 −$29 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 24 $50 +$6 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 24 $52 −$41 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 24 $52 +$14 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 24 $51 −$19 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 24 $51 +$6 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 24 $52 −$47 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 24 $72 −$60 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 24 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 24 $52 −$46 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 24 $51 −$49 -98%
Exact Score: Panama 1 - 2 Croatia? Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Ghana? Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 24 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 24 $57 +$17 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 24 $52 +$12 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 24 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 24 $52 +$7 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 24 $51 +$6 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $11 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 13¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Up 17¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 8¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Up 74¢ $36 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $73 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $83 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $72 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $67 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 327 history records