Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T02:04:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.5
score
53 0x5348…e9d3 crypto 807 markets active 0h ago coverage 32d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (58 trades/day) — uncopyable
Total PnL +$1,956 (+34%) realized +$1,956 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +23% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -6% what you keep after slip
Net edge-6%after slip
Net WR33%break-even
Win rate33%269W / 538L
Drawdown18%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day58.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days+$484
14 days+$474
30 days+$1,644
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$1,794
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (58 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)+10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 127 +37.7% +24.6% 42% 40% +16.7%
≤30d 689 +21.4% +9.9% 34% 33% +16.6%
≤90d 807 +22.6% +10.9% 33% 33% +16.9%
all 807 +22.6% +10.9% 33% 33% +16.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover58.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +10.9% 33% +16.9%
10% ← realistic here +0.3% 31% +5.7%
15% -9.4% 29% -4.5%
20% -18.3% 28% -13.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 12% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +32% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +23% · $-wt +32% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +14% → late +31% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
2.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$17 vs −$5 · ×3.24 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.62 per $1 lost it wins $1.62
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

32d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,956
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses269 / 538
Open positions0
Markets (closed)807 / 807
History coverage32d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day58.3
Drawdown18%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 807 Trades
no open positions (275 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 17 $30 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 17 $20 +$3 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $21 +$56 +267%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$36 +685%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$28 +529%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $69 +$96 +139%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$120 +2243%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$4 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$56 +529%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $21 +$51 +245%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$29 +257%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $52 +$80 +154%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $31 +$36 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$20 +188%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $35 −$12 -36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$44 +833%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$24 +230%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$28 +179%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +52%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $30 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $10 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Down 77¢ $23 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $10 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $10 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $11 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $5 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $6 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2317 history records