Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:44:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

53
0x5344…d7c2
crypto · 637 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$512 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$512 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$512
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses287 / 350
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)637 / 637
History coverage19d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day47.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 0 History 637 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$13
7 days−$188
14 days−$226
30 days−$512
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +162%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +44%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +31%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$4 +208%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +166%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +110%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +25%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +9%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$19 +258%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +20%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$3 -29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$11 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$11 +102%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$2 +33%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +5%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +11%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% −$519
other 5% +$8
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 14m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 19m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 29m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 59m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $4 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $4 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $3 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $3 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-29.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 233 -27.3% -34.2% 47% 31% -24.4%
≤30d 637 -22.6% -29.9% 45% 27% -27.9%
≤90d 637 -22.6% -29.9% 45% 27% -27.9%
all 637 -22.6% -29.9% 45% 27% -27.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover47.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.9% 27% -27.9%
10% ← realistic here -36.7% 25% -34.8%
15% -42.8% 18% -41.1%
20% -48.4% 14% -46.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1544 history records