Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T15:06:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
53 0x532b…dd2d sports 1079 markets active 1h ago coverage 12d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 11d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (205 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$18,249 (-6%) realized −$18,251 · open +$2
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate100%1070W / 1L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown52%max
Avg bet$300per market
Trades / day204.7pace
Fees−$20est.
Kalshi-fit87%portable
Net worth$4,082now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 12d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 87% +$642
other 12% +$95
crypto 1% +$17
world 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (205 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 575 -0.0% -9.5% 100% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 1071 +0.6% -9.0% 100% 0% -9.3%
≤90d 1071 +0.6% -9.0% 100% 0% -9.3%
all 1071 +0.6% -9.0% 100% 0% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover204.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.0% 0% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -17.7% 0% -18.0%
15% -25.6% 0% -25.9%
20% -32.9% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 30% · top 2 48% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +1% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.2 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$750 · ×0.0 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×2.0 per $1 lost it wins $2.0
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

12d coverage
Net worth$4,082
Realized−$18,251
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1070 / 1
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$20
Open positions6
Markets (closed)1071 / 1079
History coverage12d ⚠
Avg bet$300
Trades / day204.7
Drawdown52%
Kalshi-fit87%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 6 History 1071 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Grass Court Championships: Donna Vekic vs Alexandra Eala Alexandra Eala 100¢ 100¢ $1,250 $1,251 +$1 (+0%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 100¢ 100¢ $828 $829 +$0 (+0%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 100¢ 100¢ $549 $550 +$0 (+0%)
Set Handicap: Vekic (-1.5) vs Eala (+1.5) Eala 100¢ 100¢ $400 $400 +$0 (+0%)
Rainbow Six Siege: Fury vs HL tauri Esports (BO1) - Asia Pacific League Asia - Stage 1 Group Stage Fury 100¢ 100¢ $288 $288 +$0 (+0%)
Set 1 Winner: Vekic vs Eala Eala 100¢ 100¢ $14 $14 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Set 1 Winner: Hurkacz vs Altmaier Jun 17 $247 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Starodubtseva (-1.5) vs Navarro (+1.5) Jun 17 $286 $0 +0%
Set 1 Winner: Minaur vs Shapovalov Jun 17 $97 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Pegula (-1.5) vs Siniakova (+1.5) Jun 17 $389 $0 +0%
Set 2 Winner: Tiafoe vs Shimabukuro Jun 17 $21 $0 +0%
Starodubtseva vs. Navarro: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 17 $1,250 +$1 +0%
Set 1 Winner: Hruncakova vs Ku Jun 17 $60 $0 +0%
Honor of Kings: Weibo Gaming vs eStar Pro (BO5) - King Pro League Stag Jun 17 $197 $0 +0%
Set 1 Winner: Bergs vs Fritz Jun 17 $269 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Bergs (+1.5) Jun 17 $53 $0 +0%
Zizou Bergs vs. Taylor Fritz: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $61 $0 +0%
Map Handicap: OSG (-1.5) vs Gen.G Global Academy (+1.5) Jun 17 $100 $0 +0%
Valorant: Gen.G Global Academy vs ONSIDE GAMING (BO3) - VCL Korea: Reg Jun 17 $506 +$1 +0%
Nakashima vs. Buse: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 17 $81 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Baena (-1.5) vs Travaglia (+1.5) Jun 17 $1,250 +$1 +0%
Set Handicap: Travaglia (-1.5) vs Baena (+1.5) Jun 17 $208 $0 +0%
Baena vs. Travaglia: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 17 $94 $0 +0%
Roberto Carballes Baena vs. Stefano Travaglia: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Mertens (-1.5) vs Bartunkova (+1.5) Jun 17 $484 $0 +0%
Tseng vs. Batalla: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 17 $84 $0 +0%
Tseng vs. Batalla: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 17 $84 $0 +0%
Tseng vs. Batalla: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 17 $84 $0 +0%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 17 $400 $0 +0%
Honor of Kings: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Talent Gaming (BO5) - King Pro Jun 17 $110 $0 +0%
Game Handicap: VG (-1.5) vs Cloud Rising (+1.5) Jun 17 $718 +$1 +0%
Honor of Kings: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Talent Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $100 $0 +0%
Dota 2: Carstensz vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - EPL World Series Jun 17 $867 +$1 +0%
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) Jun 17 $489 $0 +0%
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 17 $750 +$1 +0%
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5) Jun 17 $500 $0 +0%
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 10.5 Jun 17 $1 $0 +0%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5 Jun 17 $113 $0 +0%
Game Handicap: PlayTime (-1.5) vs Estar Backs (+1.5) Jun 17 $750 +$1 +0%
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5 Jun 17 $117 $0 +0%
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5) Jun 17 $750 +$1 +0%
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-3.5) Jun 17 $750 +$1 +0%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Aura Farmers vs Aterion Esports (BO3) - BetB Jun 17 $100 $0 +0%
Norway leading at halftime? Jun 17 $750 +$1 +0%
Iraq vs. Norway: Draw at halftime? Jun 17 $750 +$1 +0%
Spread: Norway (-1.5) Jun 17 $750 +$1 +0%
Spread: Norway (-2.5) Jun 17 $750 +$1 +0%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Jun 16 $20 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: AaB Bulls vs WAZABI (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Division 1 Jun 16 $247 $0 +0%
Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs Lindorfitos (+1.5) Jun 16 $750 +$1 +0%
Counter-Strike: unknowns vs Arthrose Peek (BO3) - ESEA European Finals Jun 16 $510 $0 +0%
Escurra vs. Casanova: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Magic vs Omnix (BO3) - BetBoom Rise of Legen Jun 16 $319 $0 +0%
Rainbow Six Siege: Fnatic vs Shifters (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage Jun 16 $750 +$1 +0%
Counter-Strike: Linx Legacy Esport vs Fortress (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Jun 16 $116 +$3 +2%
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Senegal? Jun 16 $750 +$1 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Set 1 Winner: Hurkacz vs Altmaier BUY Hurkacz 100¢ $247 47m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 100¢ $3 53m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 100¢ $388 1h
Grass Court Championships: Donna Vekic vs Alexandra Eala BUY Alexandra Eala 100¢ $1,250 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 100¢ $54 1h
Set Handicap: Pegula (-1.5) vs Siniakova (+1.5) BUY Pegula 100¢ $389 1h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 100¢ $814 1h
Set Handicap: Starodubtseva (-1.5) vs Navarro (+1.5) BUY Navarro 100¢ $286 1h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 100¢ $14 1h
Set 1 Winner: Minaur vs Shapovalov BUY Minaur 100¢ $97 1h
Set 2 Winner: Tiafoe vs Shimabukuro BUY Tiafoe 100¢ $21 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 100¢ $104 1h
Zizou Bergs vs. Taylor Fritz: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Over 2.5 100¢ $61 2h
Set 1 Winner: Bergs vs Fritz BUY Fritz 100¢ $225 2h
Set 1 Winner: Hruncakova vs Ku BUY Ku 100¢ $60 3h
Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Bergs (+1.5) BUY Bergs 100¢ $53 3h
Set 1 Winner: Bergs vs Fritz BUY Fritz 100¢ $18 3h
Starodubtseva vs. Navarro: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 100¢ $1,250 3h
Nakashima vs. Buse: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 100¢ $81 3h
Set 1 Winner: Vekic vs Eala BUY Eala 100¢ $14 3h
Valorant: Gen.G Global Academy vs ONSIDE GAMING (BO3) - VCL Korea: Reg BUY ONSIDE GAMING 100¢ $506 3h
Set Handicap: Mertens (-1.5) vs Bartunkova (+1.5) BUY Bartunkova 100¢ $355 3h
Set Handicap: Vekic (-1.5) vs Eala (+1.5) BUY Eala 100¢ $81 3h
Set Handicap: Vekic (-1.5) vs Eala (+1.5) BUY Eala 100¢ $319 3h
Roberto Carballes Baena vs. Stefano Travaglia: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Over 2.5 100¢ $2 3h
Baena vs. Travaglia: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Over 100¢ $94 4h
Set Handicap: Baena (-1.5) vs Travaglia (+1.5) BUY Travaglia 100¢ $1,102 4h
Set Handicap: Baena (-1.5) vs Travaglia (+1.5) BUY Travaglia 100¢ $148 4h
Set Handicap: Travaglia (-1.5) vs Baena (+1.5) BUY Baena 100¢ $208 4h
Honor of Kings: Weibo Gaming vs eStar Pro (BO5) - King Pro League Stag BUY Weibo Gaming 100¢ $10 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4,081.59 · official $4,081.59 (match) · 3500 history records