Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T08:27:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
53 0x5324…7302 crypto 1485 markets active 7d ago coverage 7d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 7d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (390 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)
Total PnL −$3,267 (-48%) realized −$3,267 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +104% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +57% what you keep after slip
Net edge+57%after slip
Net WR57%break-even
Win rate73%935W / 354L
Drawdown53%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day389.6pace
Kalshi-fit94%portable
Net worth$103now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 7d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 93% +$1,552
other 7% +$57
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (390 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)+84.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 443 +152.1% +128.1% 32% 30% -65.1%
≤30d 1289 +104.2% +84.8% 73% 57% +5.8%
≤90d 1289 +104.2% +84.8% 73% 57% +5.8%
all 1289 +104.2% +84.8% 73% 57% +5.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover389.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +84.8% 57% +5.8%
10% ← realistic here +67.1% 41% -4.3%
15% +50.9% 32% -13.6%
20% +36.1% 27% -22.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +21% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
21% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +104% · $-wt +21% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +83% → late +125% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$3 · ×0.83 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×2.19 per $1 lost it wins $2.19
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

7d coverage
Net worth$103
Realized−$3,267
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses935 / 354
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1289 / 1485
History coverage7d ⚠
Avg bet$5
Trades / day389.6
Drawdown53%
Kalshi-fit94%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1289 Trades
no open positions (499 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 26 $1 +$2 +305%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 26 $1 +$3 +448%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 26 $1 +$3 +414%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 26 $1 +$2 +253%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 26 $1 +$3 +399%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 26 $1 +$2 +234%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 26 $0 +$7 +2817%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 26 $1 +$5 +783%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 26 $1 +$3 +325%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 26 $0 +$4 +1611%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 26 $1 +$2 +264%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 26 $0 +$4 +916%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 26 $1 +$4 +762%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 26 $1 +$3 +390%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 26 $1 +$6 +1022%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 26 $1 +$2 +307%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 26 $1 +$4 +557%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 26 $1 +$3 +462%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 26 $1 +$3 +454%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 26 $1 +$3 +422%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 26 $1 +$3 +398%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 26 $1 +$3 +440%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 26 $0 +$15 +13385%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 26 $0 +$7 +2155%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 26 $1 +$4 +539%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 26 $0 +$7 +1552%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 26 $0 +$24 +30066%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 26 $1 +$3 +455%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 26 $1 +$3 +483%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 26 $1 +$5 +927%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 26 $1 +$4 +624%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 26 $1 +$2 +319%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 26 $0 +$1 +186%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 26 $1 +$4 +552%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 26 $0 +$9 +2080%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 26 $0 +$1 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 26 $1 +$2 +307%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 26 $1 +$3 +413%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 26 $0 +$1 +614%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 26 $1 +$1 +187%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 26 $0 +$1 +335%
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 26 $0 +$24 +39174%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +52%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 26 $0 +$1 +212%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 26 $0 $0 +92%
BNB Up or Down - May 17, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +56%
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 26 $0 +$1 +285%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 26 $1 +$5 +990%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $0 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 6d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $6 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $0 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $4 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $102.95 · official $5.00 · 3500 history records