Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:17:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

53
0x5319…f256
other · 44 markets active 113d ago
2.0score
+$21,835 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$21,835 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$21,835
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses39 / 5
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)44 / 44
Avg bet$5,669
Trades / day0.5
Drawdown9%
Kalshi-fit39%
Chart Positions 0 History 44 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31? No 80¢ 0¢ $161 $0 −$161 (-100%)
Blast airdrop by May? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $160 $0 −$160 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Feb 19 $19,280 $0 +0%
Will OpenAI launch a token in 2025? Jan 28 $55 +$2 +4%
Lighter Airdrop on December 30? Jan 28 $363 +$52 +14%
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? Dec 30 $313 +$53 +17%
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30? Dec 04 $300 +$100 +33%
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15? Nov 09 $967 +$468 +48%
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? Nov 02 $2,171 +$120 +6%
OpenAI browser in 2025? Oct 21 $4,961 +$858 +17%
OpenAI browser by October 31? Oct 21 $78,060 +$17,608 +23%
Will Kanye launch a coin in February? Oct 15 $1 +$4 +456%
Super Bowl LIX Winner Feb 10 $4,873 +$30 +1%
Was Trump hacked? Jan 20 $6,598 +$37 +1%
Blast airdrop by May? May 21 $220 −$148 -67%
EigenLayer airdrop by April? May 01 $2,162 +$465 +22%
EigenLayer airdrop by June 30? Apr 28 $13 +$5 +35%
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31? Mar 05 $780 −$741 -95%
Will the Blast bridge be exploited by end of February? Mar 04 $4,724 +$420 +9%
Will STRK be below $1 one day after airdrop? Feb 22 $1,359 +$162 +12%
Will BTC hit $55,000 in February? Feb 18 $174 +$6 +3%
Bitcoin all time high in 2024? Feb 17 $386 +$10 +3%
Saga airdrop By March 1? Feb 14 $33 +$7 +23%
Will Solana Network go down in January? Feb 01 $717 +$53 +7%
Will JUP be below $0.40 one day after airdrop? Feb 01 $2,949 +$256 +9%
Was @SECGov really hacked? Jan 13 $3,039 +$98 +3%
Saudi Arabia non-oil GDP % up in Q3? Jan 01 $286 −$286 -100%
Binance insolvent in 2023? Jan 01 $3,036 +$160 +5%
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? Jan 01 $67,327 +$2,085 +3%
Will the KyberSwap hacker return 50% of the exploited funds by Dec 15? Dec 19 $1,142 +$213 +19%
Will AI be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Dec 07 $367 +$75 +20%
Will Kevin McCarthy resign from the House in 2023? Dec 07 $363 −$363 -100%
Over 500 OpenAI resignations this week? Nov 25 $83 +$17 +20%
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? Nov 22 $2,446 −$1,619 -66%
Will a European team win LOL Worlds 2023? Nov 20 $209 $0 +0%
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? Nov 20 $2,718 +$437 +16%
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win? Nov 15 $1,944 +$32 +2%
Celestia token above $1 one week after airdrop? Nov 07 $713 +$54 +8%
US military intervention by Oct 31? Nov 05 $561 +$37 +7%
Will Hunter Biden face new criminal charges before November 1? Nov 01 $42 +$4 +9%
Will 'Five Nights at Freddy's' gross over $60m opening weekend? Oct 31 $997 +$90 +9%
Will Tom Emmer be the next Speaker? Oct 25 $60 $0 +1%
Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker? Oct 25 $308 +$3 +1%
Will Mike Johnson be the next Speaker? Oct 25 $1,320 +$268 +20%
Arbitrum token FDV >$5b one week after launch? Mar 30 $1,596 +$102 +6%
Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st? Mar 24 $29,400 +$600 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 59% +$5,546
tech 34% +$16,866
politics 4% +$114
crypto 2% −$512
world 1% +$32
culture 0% +$75
economics 0% −$286
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL No 97¢ $10 113d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? BUY Yes 4¢ $0 113d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? BUY Yes 4¢ $0 113d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? BUY No 96¢ $5 113d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? BUY No 96¢ $5 114d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? BUY No 96¢ $5 114d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? BUY No 96¢ $5 114d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL No 96¢ $778 114d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL No 96¢ $45 114d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL No 96¢ $41 114d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL No 96¢ $370 114d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL No 96¢ $32 114d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL No 96¢ $45 114d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL No 96¢ $41 114d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL No 96¢ $41 114d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL No 96¢ $40 114d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL No 96¢ $32 114d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL No 96¢ $45 114d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL No 96¢ $0 114d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL No 96¢ $32 114d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL No 96¢ $41 114d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL No 96¢ $41 114d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL No 96¢ $48 114d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL No 96¢ $41 114d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL No 96¢ $43 114d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL No 96¢ $33 114d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL No 96¢ $56 114d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL No 96¢ $33 114d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL No 96¢ $46 114d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL No 96¢ $137 114d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-0.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d no closed markets
all 44 +9.9% -0.6% 89% 36% -1.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.5 tr/day
realistic slip~10%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.6% 36% -1.4%
10% ← realistic here -10.1% 14% -10.8%
15% -18.8% 7% -19.4%
20% -26.8% 2% -27.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 619 history records