trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +35.4% | +22.5% | 100% | 100% | +14.8% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +7.4% | -2.8% | 64% | 50% | +0.7% |
| ≤90d | 16 | +6.3% | -3.9% | 56% | 44% | +0.4% |
| all | 16 | +6.3% | -3.9% | 56% | 44% | +0.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -3.9% | 44% | +0.4% |
| 10% | -13.1% | 19% | -9.2% |
| 15% | -21.5% | 6% | -18.0% |
| 20% | -29.2% | 6% | -26.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 75¢ | 68¢ | $431 | $395 | −$35 (-8%) |
| Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch? | Yes | 39¢ | 36¢ | $241 | $220 | −$21 (-9%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Jun 18 | $711 | +$168 | +24% |
| o1 FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Jun 18 | $171 | +$148 | +87% |
| o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Jun 17 | $301 | +$38 | +13% |
| Over $250k committed to the ALIGN public sale? | Jun 12 | $433 | +$79 | +18% |
| Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? | Jun 04 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| XMAQUINA FDV above $60M one day after launch? | May 29 | $837 | −$67 | -8% |
| XMAQUINA FDV above $80M one day after launch? | May 28 | $229 | +$39 | +17% |
| Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch? | May 27 | $377 | −$11 | -3% |
| Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch? | May 26 | $638 | +$200 | +31% |
| Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch? | May 26 | $415 | +$80 | +19% |
| Citrea FDV above $200M one day after launch? | May 26 | $76 | −$30 | -39% |
| Citrea FDV above $300M one day after launch? | May 26 | $207 | −$134 | -65% |
| Nexus FDV above $200M one day after launch? | May 21 | $209 | +$18 | +9% |
| Nexus FDV above $300M one day after launch? | May 20 | $55 | $0 | +1% |
| Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch? | May 19 | $29 | −$1 | -2% |
| Citrea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | May 19 | $81 | −$1 | -1% |