Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:00:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

53
0x5313…f0b8
sports · 151 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$602 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$14 · open −$256
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$314
Realized+$14
Unrealized−$256
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses82 / 66
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$250
Open positions3
Markets (closed)148 / 151
History coverage105d
Avg bet$273
Trades / day3.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 3 History 148 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$292
7 days+$31
14 days+$135
30 days+$130
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 35¢ 28¢ $200 $161 −$39 (-20%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner T1 31¢ 48¢ $100 $153 +$53 (+53%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner T1 40¢ 0¢ $270 $0 −$270 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner DN SOOPers 20¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner Nongshim Red Force 41¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner JD Gaming 25¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner Top Esports 58¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner Anyones Legend 42¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 20¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Gen.G 19¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: Oh My God vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner EDward Gaming 54¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner Nongshim Red Force 14¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner Anyones Legend 44¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner DN SOOPers 25¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Bilibili Gaming 54¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Team WE 23¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner Dplus KIA 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 HANJIN BRION 48¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Dplus KIA 45¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: Oh My God vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner Oh My God 18¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 23¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: Oh My God vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana Oh My God 31¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Invictus Gaming 16¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner Nongshim Red Force 37¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 14 $71 −$57 -80%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $506 +$288 +57%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $203 −$131 -64%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $305 −$300 -98%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $102 −$43 -42%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $51 −$50 -98%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $254 +$324 +127%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner May 31 $101 +$73 +72%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner May 31 $101 +$31 +31%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 30 $51 +$111 +217%
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner May 30 $51 −$50 -98%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 29 $101 +$48 +47%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner May 29 $51 −$50 -98%
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winner May 28 $203 +$259 +128%
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 28 $51 −$50 -98%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 28 $51 +$37 +72%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 27 $51 +$29 +57%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner May 27 $112 +$101 +91%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner May 27 $51 +$74 +146%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner May 26 $102 +$97 +95%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea May 26 $101 −$53 -52%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner May 26 $51 −$50 -98%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 4 Winner May 25 $152 +$156 +102%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner May 25 $51 +$67 +132%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoff May 25 $102 −$28 -28%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner May 23 $51 +$71 +139%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 23 $101 +$20 +20%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner May 23 $62 −$1 -1%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner May 23 $101 +$44 +44%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner May 22 $51 +$114 +224%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifi May 22 $607 −$100 -16%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner May 22 $51 −$51 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 4 Winner May 22 $51 −$50 -98%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 22 $101 −$100 -99%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qual May 21 $203 −$90 -44%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 3 Winner May 21 $41 +$45 +110%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner May 21 $61 −$60 -98%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner May 21 $51 +$46 +90%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner May 20 $102 +$126 +124%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 20 $51 +$133 +260%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner May 20 $72 −$70 -98%
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 20 $31 −$30 -98%
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner May 20 $56 −$55 -98%
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner May 20 $21 −$20 -98%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner May 19 $51 +$101 +197%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Q May 19 $254 +$28 +11%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner May 19 $51 −$50 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner May 19 $16 −$13 -79%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner May 18 $101 +$78 +77%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner May 18 $43 −$42 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$99
other 2% −$143
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 31¢ $102 31m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 17¢ $20 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 29¢ $51 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 35¢ $204 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 51¢ $203 1h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? SELL Yes 7¢ $14 2h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 34¢ $71 2h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 21¢ $72 2h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $203 4h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $506 7h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 31¢ $102 9h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 55¢ $203 9h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Team WE 23¢ $59 19h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 38¢ $102 20h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Team WE 23¢ $51 20h
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner BUY KT Rolster 25¢ $51 6d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner BUY KT Rolster 53¢ $203 6d
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner SELL Dplus KIA 91¢ $175 13d
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner BUY Dplus KIA 52¢ $101 13d
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 95¢ $132 13d
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $101 13d
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL BNK FEARX 62¢ $102 14d
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL BNK FEARX 37¢ $60 14d
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY BNK FEARX 15¢ $51 14d
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner BUY DN SOOPers 25¢ $51 14d
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 SELL Dplus KIA 94¢ $149 15d
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY Dplus KIA 63¢ $101 15d
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner BUY Dplus KIA 50¢ $51 15d
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 88¢ $244 16d
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 81¢ $219 16d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-17.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -28.9% -35.6% 29% 29% -7.6%
≤30d 74 -5.0% -14.1% 45% 45% -8.1%
≤90d 142 -9.6% -18.2% 54% 35% -10.2%
all 148 -9.0% -17.7% 55% 35% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.7% 35% -9.5%
10% -25.5% 32% -18.2%
15% -32.7% 26% -26.1%
20% -39.3% 22% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $314.46 · official $314.52 (match) · 380 history records