Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:06:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

53
0x5311…6711
crypto · 141 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$99 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$99 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$99
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses76 / 64
Open positions1
Markets (closed)140 / 141
History coverage24d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day17.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 140 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$7
14 days−$7
30 days−$99
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? No 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$8 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$3 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET May 29 $15 −$5 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET May 29 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET May 29 $36 −$18 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET May 29 $30 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET May 29 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET May 29 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET May 28 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET May 28 $2 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET May 28 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET May 28 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET May 28 $5 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET May 28 $6 −$3 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET May 28 $5 +$9 +180%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET May 28 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET May 28 $5 +$7 +141%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET May 28 $5 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET May 28 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET May 28 $5 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET May 28 $6 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET May 28 $7 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET May 28 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET May 28 $3 +$3 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET May 28 $4 +$7 +172%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET May 28 $7 −$4 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET May 28 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET May 28 $6 +$5 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET May 28 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET May 28 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET May 28 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET May 28 $4 +$8 +230%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET May 28 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET May 28 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET May 28 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET May 28 $5 −$3 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET May 28 $7 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET May 28 $3 −$3 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$99
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-18.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -2.1% -11.4% 71% 29% -13.6%
≤30d 140 -9.9% -18.5% 54% 33% -14.1%
≤90d 140 -9.9% -18.5% 54% 33% -14.1%
all 140 -9.9% -18.5% 54% 33% -14.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.5% 33% -14.1%
10% -26.3% 21% -22.3%
15% -33.4% 15% -29.8%
20% -39.9% 11% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.00 · official $1.00 (match) · 533 history records