Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T19:50:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
52 0x52fd…4132 crypto 785 markets active 1h ago coverage 77d ⚠
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 76d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$101,229 (+10%) realized +$101,229 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR4%break-even
Win rate95%785W / 43L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown2%max
Avg bet$1,293per market
Trades / day32.9pace
Kalshi-fit62%portable
Net worth$160now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 77d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 94% +$41,428
other 6% +$7,066
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-7.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 168 -21.8% -29.3% 74% 7% -4.6%
≤30d 377 -6.9% -15.7% 89% 6% -6.1%
≤90d 828 +2.5% -7.3% 95% 4% -5.3%
all 828 +2.5% -7.3% 95% 4% -5.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover32.9 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.3% 4% -5.3%
10% -16.2% 3% -14.3%
15% ← realistic here -24.3% 2% -22.6%
20% -31.7% 1% -30.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 16% · top 2 31% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
95% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt +5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$763) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +11% → late -6% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
3.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$62 vs −$18 · ×3.36 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×61.33 per $1 lost it wins $61.33
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

77d coverage
Net worth$160
Realized+$101,229
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses785 / 43
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)828 / 785
History coverage77d ⚠
Avg bet$1,293
Trades / day32.9
Drawdown2%
Kalshi-fit62%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 828 Trades
no open positions (43 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 22 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 22 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 22 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 22 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 22 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 22 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 22 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 22 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 22 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 22 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 22 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 22 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 22 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 22 $87 −$87 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 22 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 22 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 22 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 22 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 22 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 22 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 22 $77 −$155 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 22 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 22 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 22 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 21, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 22 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 22 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 22 $94 −$94 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 22 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 22 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 22 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 22 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 22 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 22 $88 −$88 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 22 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 22 $88 −$88 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 22 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 29, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 22 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 22 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 22 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 21, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 22 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 22 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 22 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 22 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 22 $275 +$4 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 22 $490 +$7 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 22 $37 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 22 $439 +$6 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 22 $470 +$4 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 22 $84 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $275 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $490 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $37 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $439 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $470 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $84 5h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $79 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $11 6h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $81 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $330 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $338 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $133 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $158 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $28 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $34 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $11 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $235 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $17 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $85 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $81 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $28 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $198 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $159.99 · official $159.99 (match) · 3500 history records