Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:34:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

52
0x52fc…6303
crypto · 1746 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$87 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$87 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$87
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses1088 / 657
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1745 / 1746
History coverage21d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day83.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1745 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$19
7 days−$19
14 days−$66
30 days−$87
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +114%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +159%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$87
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)-11.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 218 -2.0% -11.3% 51% 51% -12.5%
≤30d 1745 -1.8% -11.2% 62% 60% -11.0%
≤90d 1745 -1.8% -11.2% 62% 60% -11.0%
all 1745 -1.8% -11.2% 62% 60% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover83.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.2% 60% -11.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.7% 48% -19.5%
15% -27.4% 36% -27.3%
20% -34.5% 27% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records