Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:48:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

52
0x52fb…a68b
crypto · 704 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6,105 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,389 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,389
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses482 / 222
Open positions0
Markets (closed)704 / 704
History coverage18d
Avg bet$102
Trades / day150.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 704 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$111
7 days−$254
14 days+$21
30 days−$3,389
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 5? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 5? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$5 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$4 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$5 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$6 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$5 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$17 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$5 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $13 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $17 +$5 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $19 +$4 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$6 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $66 −$66 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $66 −$66 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $67 −$67 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $66 +$8 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$4 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $47 +$23 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$13 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $49 +$7 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$10 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $66 +$10 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$8 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $66 +$11 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $66 +$26 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $66 −$66 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $66 +$19 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $66 +$19 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$5 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $66 +$21 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $67 +$36 +54%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$3,329
weather 0% −$60
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $3 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $6 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $3 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $10 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $10 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $31 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 152 -3.4% -12.6% 72% 70% -13.0%
≤30d 704 -6.0% -14.9% 68% 67% -13.8%
≤90d 704 -6.0% -14.9% 68% 67% -13.8%
all 704 -6.0% -14.9% 68% 67% -13.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover150.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.9% 67% -13.8%
10% ← realistic here -23.1% 47% -22.0%
15% -30.5% 27% -29.6%
20% -37.3% 17% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records