Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T06:13:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
52 0x52f7…b1a8 crypto 1437 markets active 0h ago coverage 6d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 6d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (381 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$13,315 (-140%) realized −$13,315 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -15% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -34% what you keep after slip
Net edge-34%after slip
Net WR49%break-even
Win rate68%1132W / 522L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day380.8pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$1now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$865
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (381 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-23.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1654 -14.9% -23.0% 68% 49% -18.6%
≤30d 1654 -14.9% -23.0% 68% 49% -18.6%
≤90d 1654 -14.9% -23.0% 68% 49% -18.6%
all 1654 -14.9% -23.0% 68% 49% -18.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover380.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.0% 49% -18.6%
10% ← realistic here -30.4% 26% -26.4%
15% -37.1% 10% -33.5%
20% -43.3% 4% -40.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -10% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
25% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -15% · $-wt -10% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +10% → late -40% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$5 · ×0.27 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.59 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$1
Realized−$13,315
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses1132 / 522
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1654 / 1437
History coverage6d ⚠
Avg bet$7
Trades / day380.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1654 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 15 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 15 $22 −$22 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 15 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $6 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.81 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records